Sparta Prague vs 
Lyon
Bawler weighs each team's recent scoring and defending, then adjusts for home advantage and injuries to work out how this match is likely to go. This page shows the full chain — every number we used.
Under 2.5 Goals is the lay-up here—Sparta's 1.25 xG dominance over Lyon's 0.51 points to a low-scoring affair, with total expected output of just 1.76.
Sparta PraguestepLyonSparta Prague average 6.0 corners per game at home this season (6 competitive matches). Lyon average 5.3 corners per game away from home this season (23 competitive matches).
Model probabilities for this fixture, ordered by likelihood. Estimates from rolling expected goals — not guarantees.
More predictions for these teams
Sparta Prague vs Lyon — Head-to-Head
This is the first meeting Bawler has on record between Sparta Prague and Lyon — the model's ledger starts at model launch, so no earlier fixtures between these two sides have been logged and settled yet.
The model's verdict for this fixture: Sparta Prague 51% · draw 36% · Lyon 13%.
Model probabilities are edge estimates for entertainment — not betting advice, and past performance does not guarantee future results. 18+.
Sparta Prague 2–1 LyonModel estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.