Sparta Prague vs Lyon prediction — Champions League - Qualification · Tue 4 Aug · 19:00 UK

Champions League - Qualification · Tue 4 Aug · 19:00 UK
Sparta Prague 51Draw 36Lyon 13
The call
77%
Under 2.5 goals
1.8
Goals expected
Full time
Final 2–1

How it finished

Sparta Prague beat Lyon 2–1. Bawler's model had Sparta Prague in front at 51% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 1.8 goals; the match produced 3. Sparta Prague had 9 shots (3 on target) to Lyon's 11 (4), with 52% of the ball against 48%. Expected goals finished 1.3 to 1.3.

Sparta PragueFull-time statsLyon
52%Possession48%
1.3Expected goals (xG)1.3
9Shots11
3Shots on target4
8Shots inside box8
3Big chances1
6Corners9
4Saves1
11Fouls7
3Offsides2
2Yellow cards0
What we publishedBeforeAfter
ResultSparta Prague 51%Sparta Prague (51% called)
Total goals1.83
Both teams to score28%Yes
Model callUnder 2.5 Goals 77%Missed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

MarketProbability
Under 3.5 goals90%
Under 2.5 goals74%
Both teams to score — no72%
Sparta Prague to score71%

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)+0.7 / match
Opponent strength indexTop quartile
Full-time recap →
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Common questions

Who won Sparta Prague vs Lyon?

Sparta Prague beat Lyon 2–1. Bawler's model had Sparta Prague in front at 51% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 1.8 goals; the match produced 3. Sparta Prague had 9 shots (3 on target) to Lyon's 11 (4), with 52% of the ball against 48%. Expected goals finished 1.3 to 1.3.

What was the final score in Sparta Prague vs Lyon?

Sparta Prague 2–1 Lyon, played on 04 Aug 2026 in the Europe: Champions League - Qualification. Bawler's model had gone into it with Sparta Prague 51%, the draw 36% and Lyon 13%.

What were the stats in Sparta Prague vs Lyon?

Full-time: Possession 52%–48%, Expected goals (xG) 1.3–1.3, Shots 9–11, Shots on target 3–4, Shots inside box 8–8, Big chances 3–1, Corners 6–9, Saves 4–1, Fouls 11–7, Offsides 3–2, Yellow cards 2–0.

Did both teams score in Sparta Prague vs Lyon?

Yes — both Sparta Prague and Lyon scored, finishing 2–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 28% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Sparta Prague vs Lyon right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said Sparta Prague 51%, it finished Sparta Prague (51% called); Total goals — we said 1.8, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 28%, it finished Yes; Model call — we said Under 2.5 Goals 77%, it finished Missed.

Around this fixture

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