SK Brann vs AGF prediction — Conference League · Thu 26 Nov · 17:45 UK

Conference League · Thu 26 Nov · 17:45 UKUpdated Wed 11 Nov, 17:06 UK
60SK Brann win22Draw18AGF win
The call
60%
SK Brann to win

SK Brann v AGF prediction

Our model makes SK Brann clear favourites for this Conference League game, with a 60% chance of winning. AGF are given 18%, and the draw 22%. If you want one score, our predicted score is SK Brann 2–1 AGF, the most likely SK Brann win (10%). We expect 3.0 goals in total: 2.0 for SK Brann and 1.0 for AGF. Both teams scoring is 55% and three or more goals is 59%.

On shots, our forecast is 18.6 for SK Brann and 10.4 for AGF, with 7.3 and 3.5 on target, and corners at 9.5 to 2.8. So we expect SK Brann to do more of the shooting.

In their last six games SK Brann have four wins, two draws and no defeats, while AGF have no wins, two draws and four defeats. Both drew their most recent match.

Written from the numbers on this page. These are forecasts, not certainties.

Predicted score
2–1
Likeliest score if SK Brann win (10%). Single likeliest exact score: 1–1 (10%)
Expected goals
2.0v1.0
3.0 in total
Both teams score
55%
Leans yes
3+ goals
59%
Leans likely

What we expect from each side

The grey number is their average over the last six.

SK BrannSK BrannAGFAGF
2.0Goals1.0
usually 2.2usually 0.5
18.6Shots10.4
usually 12.3usually 8.7
7.3On target3.5
usually 5.7usually 2.8
9.5Corners2.8
usually 8.3usually 2.8
SK BrannSK BrannAGFAGF
0.9Goals0.4
8.5Shots4.7
usually 6.2usually 3.0
3.3On target1.6
usually 2.5usually 1.0
4.4Corners1.3
usually 3.3usually 1.0
SK BrannSK BrannAGFAGF
1.1Goals0.6
10.1Shots5.6
4.0On target1.9
5.0Corners1.5

More chances

SK Brann to score87%
2 or more goals81%
Goal before half-time74%
3 goals or fewer64%
AGF to score64%

SK Brann · last 6

Dat St.Truiden1–19 shots
Wat FK Kauno Žalgiris4–121 shots
Wv Lincoln Red Imps FC2–119 shots
Wv PAOK3–29 shots
Dat PAOK1–16 shots
Wat Apollon Limassol2–108/11

AGF · last 6

Dv Braga0–014 shots
Dv Egnatia1–19 shots
Lat Gent0–14 shots
Lv Benfica1–38 shots
Lat Benfica1–33 shots
Lat Sabah FK0–414 shots

League position

AGF in their league tableLower half

First half — what we expect

SK Brann
59%
to score before half-time
AGF
36%
to score before half-time

First-half chances

How likely each side is to reach these totals before half-time.

SK BrannSK BrannAGFAGF
68%7+ shots23%
46%9+ shots<10%
80%2+ shots on target45%
40%4+ shots on target10%
77%3+ corners16%
44%5+ corners<10%

Second half — who scores?

At half-time we update each side’s chance of scoring in the second half from what the first half showed.

What would change the call

SK Brann to win is 60% now. Here is what it would become at half-time:

SK Brann lead 1–0 at half-time81%
AGF lead 1–0 at half-time18%
Goalless at half-time47%

Based on the half-time score alone — team news is not included.

Build a combination on this match →
Every Bawler's pick is logged before kickoff · Bawler's pick record →

Around this fixture

All fixtures & results →SK Brann form →AGF form →

Common questions

Who will win SK Brann vs AGF?

Bawler's model rates this match: SK Brann are favoured (60% win probability vs 18% for AGF, 22% draw). The model uses each side’s expected goals, recent form and the strength of the opposition.

What is the predicted score for SK Brann vs AGF?

Bawler's predicted score is SK Brann 2-1 AGF: the most likely score if SK Brann win, which is the likeliest result (60%). Our model puts that exact score at 9.8%. Expected total goals: 3.0.

How does Bawler predict SK Brann vs AGF?

Bawler estimates each side's expected goals from its results and the quality of its chances, adjusted for the strength of the opposition and for home advantage, then works out the chance of every scoreline to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. Team news and lineups are not built into these numbers. For this match that gives SK Brann 60%, the draw 22% and AGF 18%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.

Will both teams score in SK Brann vs AGF?

Probably — Bawler's model gives both teams scoring a 55% chance. That is based on SK Brann expecting 2.03 goals and AGF 1.01.

Over or under 2.5 goals in SK Brann vs AGF?

Bawler's model expects 3.0 goals in total. It leans slightly towards three or more goals: over 2.5 goals is 59%.

When are the SK Brann v AGF line-ups announced?

Clubs usually name their line-ups about an hour before kickoff.