Sheffield Wednesday vs Wolverhampton Wanderers prediction — EFL Cup · Tue 25 Aug · 19:45 UK

EFL Cup · Tue 25 Aug · 19:45 UK
Sheffield Wednesday 40Draw 28Wolverhampton Wanderers 32
The call
68%
Sheffield Wednesday or draw
2.5
Goals expected
2d 00hUntil lineups lock

Three forecasts on this match

High
Sheffield Wednesday or draw
68%
Medium
Over 2.5 goals
52%
Outside
Draw
28%

Every market the model rates

Sheffield Wednesday or draw68%
Over 1.5 goals71%
Over 2.5 goals46%
BTTS51%
Sheffield Wednesday win to nil23%
Wolverhampton Wanderers or draw60%
Under 3.5 goals76%
Correct score 1–113%

Model inputs

Home form (last 6)L W W W W L
Expected goals gap (xG)+0.2 / match
Head-to-head, last 5SHE 1 · D 2 · WOL 2
Opponent strength indexTop quartile

Head to head

Aug 2018Sheffield Wednesday 0–2 Wolverhampton Wanderers
Apr 2018Wolverhampton Wanderers 0–0 Sheffield Wednesday
Dec 2017Sheffield Wednesday 0–1 Wolverhampton Wanderers
Jan 2017Sheffield Wednesday 0–0 Wolverhampton Wanderers
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Common questions

Who will win Sheffield Wednesday vs Wolverhampton Wanderers?

Bawler's model rates this match: Sheffield Wednesday are favoured (40% win probability vs 32% for Wolverhampton Wanderers, 28% draw). The model uses rolling xG, recent form, and lineup data.

What is the predicted score for Sheffield Wednesday vs Wolverhampton Wanderers?

The most likely scoreline from Bawler's model is Sheffield Wednesday 1-1 Wolverhampton Wanderers (13.3% probability). Expected total goals: 2.50.

How does Bawler predict Sheffield Wednesday vs Wolverhampton Wanderers?

Bawler builds each side's expected goals from a rolling 26-match window, adjusts for home advantage and for injuries or absences in the confirmed squads, then runs the resulting scoreline distribution to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. For this match that gives Sheffield Wednesday 40%, the draw 28% and Wolverhampton Wanderers 32%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.

Will both teams score in Sheffield Wednesday vs Wolverhampton Wanderers?

BTTS: Yes (51% probability) — both attacks should find the net. Based on home expected goals 1.33 and away expected goals 1.17.

Over or under 2.5 goals in Sheffield Wednesday vs Wolverhampton Wanderers?

Bawler's model gives a combined expected-goals total of 2.50. The lean is Under 2.5 (likely a tighter affair).

Around this fixture

Championship table →
Sheffield Wednesday
Before this
8 AugHBolton Wanderers10 W
All fixtures & results →Sheffield Wednesday form →Wolverhampton Wanderers form →