Romania vs Bosnia-Herzegovina prediction — UEFA Nations League · Mon 28 Sept · 19:45 UK

UEFA Nations League · Mon 28 Sept · 19:45 UK
24Romania win26Draw50Bosnia-Herzegovina win
Our call before kickoff
76%
Bosnia-Herzegovina or draw
Landed
Full time
Final 2–4

How it finished

Bosnia-Herzegovina beat Romania 4–2. Bawler's model had Bosnia-Herzegovina in front at 50% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.8 goals; the match produced 6. Romania had 13 shots (4 on target) to Bosnia-Herzegovina's 15 (7), with 56% of the ball against 44%. Expected goals finished 1.0 to 2.4.

RomaniaFull-time statsBosnia-Herzegovina
56%Possession44%
1.0Expected goals (xG)2.4
13Shots15
4Shots on target7
5Shots inside box9
2Big chances6
4Corners3
3Saves2
15Fouls9
3Offsides1
0Yellow cards2
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callBosnia-Herzegovina or draw 76%Bosnia-Herzegovina won (50% called)
Total goals2.86
Both teams to score54%Yes
Graded pickOver 1.5 goals 77%Landed
Second pickOver 2.5 goals 53%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we said the chances were

Bosnia-Herzegovina to score81%
2 or more goals77%
Goal before half-time71%
3 goals or fewer70%
Romania to score67%
Both teams score54%
3 or more goals53%

What we expected from each side

The grey number is their average over the last six.

RomaniaRomaniaBosnia-HerzegovinaBosnia-Herzegovina
1.1Goals1.7
RomaniaRomaniaBosnia-HerzegovinaBosnia-Herzegovina
0.5Goals0.7
RomaniaRomaniaBosnia-HerzegovinaBosnia-Herzegovina
0.6Goals0.9

Shots and corners are not shown for this match — one of these national teams has too few recorded games for us to forecast them. Each bar is split by each side's share of the total.

First half — what we expected

Romania
38%
to score before half-time
Bosnia-Herzegovina
53%
to score before half-time

Shots and corners are not shown for international matches yet — national teams play too few games for us to forecast them well.

Head to head

Nov 2025Bosnia and Herzegovina 3–1 Romania
Mar 2025Romania 0–1 Bosnia and Herzegovina
Sept 2022Romania 4–1 Bosnia and Herzegovina
Jun 2022Bosnia and Herzegovina 1–0 Romania
Jun 2011Romania 3–0 Bosnia and Herzegovina
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Romania vs Bosnia-Herzegovina?

Bosnia-Herzegovina beat Romania 4–2. Bawler's model had Bosnia-Herzegovina in front at 50% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.8 goals; the match produced 6. Romania had 13 shots (4 on target) to Bosnia-Herzegovina's 15 (7), with 56% of the ball against 44%. Expected goals finished 1.0 to 2.4.

What was the final score in Romania vs Bosnia-Herzegovina?

Romania 2–4 Bosnia-Herzegovina, played on 28 Sept 2026 in the Europe: UEFA Nations League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Romania 24%, the draw 26% and Bosnia-Herzegovina 50%.

What were the stats in Romania vs Bosnia-Herzegovina?

Full-time: Possession 56%–44%, Expected goals (xG) 1.0–2.4, Shots 13–15, Shots on target 4–7, Shots inside box 5–9, Big chances 2–6, Corners 4–3, Saves 3–2, Fouls 15–9, Offsides 3–1, Yellow cards 0–2.

Did both teams score in Romania vs Bosnia-Herzegovina?

Yes — both Romania and Bosnia-Herzegovina scored, finishing 2–4. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 54% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Romania vs Bosnia-Herzegovina right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Bosnia-Herzegovina or draw 76%, it finished Bosnia-Herzegovina won (50% called); Total goals — we said 2.8, it finished 6; Both teams to score — we said 54%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 77%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said Over 2.5 goals 53%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

All fixtures & results →Romania form →Bosnia-Herzegovina form →