FT · Portugal: Primeira Liga · Sunday, 08 November 2026
Rio Ave 0–1 BragaMatch recap · Sunday, 08 November 2026
How Bawler's pick did
Bawler's pickLost
Braga or Draw✓
Braga Over 13.5 Shots✗
Ricardo Horta 2+ Shots✓
Logged before kickoff, settled from the final stats. Bawler's pick record →
Pre-match probability vs result
Rio Ave win
18%
Draw
24%
Braga win
58%
Result
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
0.9 – 1.8
Total 2.7
Actual
0 – 1
Total 1 (−1.7 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
0.2 – 1.9
From the match itself
The match produced 1.7 fewer goals than we forecast. That can be wasteful finishing, strong goalkeeping or chances we over-rated.