RB Leipzig vs Borussia Mönchengladbach prediction — Bundesliga · Sat 29 Aug · 14:30 UK

Bundesliga · Sat 29 Aug · 14:30 UK
RB Leipzig 60Draw 22Borussia Mönchengladbach 18
The call
60%
RB Leipzig to win
3.2
Goals expected
Full time
Final 3–0

How it finished

RB Leipzig beat Borussia Mönchengladbach 3–0. Bawler's model had RB Leipzig in front at 60% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.2 goals and the match produced 3. RB Leipzig had 25 shots (11 on target) to Borussia Mönchengladbach's 14 (4), with 47% of the ball against 53%. Expected goals finished 3.9 to 0.9.

RB LeipzigFull-time statsBorussia…
47%Possession53%
3.9Expected goals (xG)0.9
25Shots14
11Shots on target4
19Shots inside box9
6Big chances2
7Corners6
4Saves8
10Fouls13
0Offsides5
1Yellow cards0
What we publishedBeforeAfter
ResultRB Leipzig 60%RB Leipzig (60% called)
Total goals3.23
Both teams to score59%No
Model callHome Win 60%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

MarketProbability
RB Leipzig to score88%
Over 1.5 goals83%
Borussia Mönchengladbach to score66%
Over 2.5 goals62%

First half — what we expected

RB LeipzigBefore half-timeBorussia Mönchengladbach
64%Chance to score30%
8.4Expected shots5.3
4.3Expected shots on target1.6
3.4Expected corners2.8
71%Chance of 7+ shots30%
46%Chance of 9+ shots11%
65%Chance of 3+ shots on target22%
43%Chance of 5+ shots on target2%
84%Chance of 2+ corners74%
44%Chance of 4+ corners31%

Chance of at least one first-half goal: 75%. Based on how often each side shoots and wins corners before the break, not a share of their full-match numbers.

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)+1.0 / match
Opponent strength indexBottom quartile
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won RB Leipzig vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?

RB Leipzig beat Borussia Mönchengladbach 3–0. Bawler's model had RB Leipzig in front at 60% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.2 goals and the match produced 3. RB Leipzig had 25 shots (11 on target) to Borussia Mönchengladbach's 14 (4), with 47% of the ball against 53%. Expected goals finished 3.9 to 0.9.

What was the final score in RB Leipzig vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?

RB Leipzig 3–0 Borussia Mönchengladbach, played on 29 Aug 2026 in the Germany: Bundesliga. Bawler's model had gone into it with RB Leipzig 60%, the draw 22% and Borussia Mönchengladbach 18%.

What were the stats in RB Leipzig vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?

Full-time: Possession 47%–53%, Expected goals (xG) 3.9–0.9, Shots 25–14, Shots on target 11–4, Shots inside box 19–9, Big chances 6–2, Corners 7–6, Saves 4–8, Fouls 10–13, Offsides 0–5, Yellow cards 1–0.

Did both teams score in RB Leipzig vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?

No. It finished 3–0, so Borussia Mönchengladbach failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 59% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for RB Leipzig vs Borussia Mönchengladbach right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said RB Leipzig 60%, it finished RB Leipzig (60% called); Total goals — we said 3.2, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 59%, it finished No; Model call — we said Home Win 60%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

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