Germany: BundesligaSaturday 29 Aug, 13:30 UTC

RB Leipzig vBorussia Mönchengladbach

Most likely scoreline
21
10% of the time · 3.44 goals expected
RB Leipzig 62%Draw 21%Borussia Mönchengladbach 17%
How we get there
RB LeipzigstepBorussia Mönchengladbach
2.31Base xG · rolling 26-match1.13
no injury adjustment — full squads available per FotMob
2.31Final goal estimate — what the model uses1.13

Early projection

These are the model's current numbers for a fixture that hasn't come round yet. They firm up on matchday, once team news and lineups are in — and once the model's call is locked it's never edited, which is what makes the track record mean anything.

RB Leipzig average 5.9 corners per game at home this season (17 competitive matches). Borussia Mönchengladbach average 4.2 corners per game away from home this season (17 competitive matches).

Scoreline distribution · chance of each scoremodel estimate
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
0
3
4
2
1
1
7
8
5
2
1
2
9
10
5
2
1
3
7
7
4
2
4
4
4
2
1
5
2
2
1
6
1
1
home windrawaway win

More predictions for these teams

RB Leipzig vs Borussia Mönchengladbach — Head-to-Head

This is the first meeting Bawler has on record between RB Leipzig and Borussia Mönchengladbach — the model's ledger starts at model launch, so no earlier fixtures between these two sides have been logged and settled yet.

The model's verdict for this fixture: RB Leipzig 62% · draw 21% · Borussia Mönchengladbach 17%.

Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — past results do not decide future ones.

More match predictions ▶

Model estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.