Match prediction·SCOTLAND: Premiership·Sunday 09 Aug, 15:00 UTC

Rangers vs Hibernian

Bawler weighs each team's recent scoring and defending, then adjusts for home advantage and injuries to work out how this match is likely to go. This page shows the full chain — every number we used.

📊 Win probability
52.8% home28.6% draw18.5% away
📈 xG chain — base → adjustments → final goal estimate
RangersstepHibernian
1.40Base xG · rolling 26-match1.10
no injury adjustment — full squads available per FotMob
1.40Final goal estimate — what the model uses1.10

Rangers average 6.7 corners per game at home this season (25 competitive matches). Hibernian average 4.2 corners per game away from home this season (20 competitive matches).

🎯 Scoreline distribution · chance of each scoremodel estimate
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
0
8
9
5
2
1
1
11
13
7
3
1
2
8
9
5
2
3
4
4
2
1
4
1
1
1
5
6
home windrawaway win
Most likely outcomes
Over 1.5 goals
76%
Both teams to score
53%
Hibernian or draw
25%

Model probabilities for this fixture, ordered by likelihood. Estimates from rolling expected goals — not guarantees.

More predictions for these teams

Rangers vs Hibernian — Head-to-Head

This is the first meeting Bawler has on record between Rangers and Hibernian — the model's ledger starts at model launch, so no earlier fixtures between these two sides have been logged and settled yet.

The model's verdict for this fixture: Rangers 53% · draw 29% · Hibernian 19%.

Model probabilities are edge estimates for entertainment — not betting advice, and past performance does not guarantee future results. 18+.

⚡ Full-time recap available
Rangers 12 Hibernian
See how the model called it · call-by-call verdict · xG vs actual →
More match predictions ▶

Model estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.