Racing Santander beat Alavés 2–1. Racing Santander had 11 shots (4 on target) to Alavés' 16 (8), with 57% of the ball against 43%. On expected goals it was 1.5 to 2.0, so Alavés created the better chances and still lost the game.
The grey number is their average over the last six.
How likely we said each side was to reach these totals before half-time.
Racing Santander beat Alavés 2–1. Racing Santander had 11 shots (4 on target) to Alavés' 16 (8), with 57% of the ball against 43%. On expected goals it was 1.5 to 2.0, so Alavés created the better chances and still lost the game.
Racing Santander 2–1 Alavés, played on 12 Sept 2026 in the Spain: La Liga. Bawler's model had gone into it with Racing Santander 41%, the draw 27% and Alavés 32%.
Full-time: Possession 57%–43%, Expected goals (xG) 1.5–2.0, Shots 11–16, Shots on target 4–8, Shots inside box 8–10, Big chances 2–4, Corners 4–6, Saves 7–2, Fouls 16–17, Offsides 2–9, Yellow cards 2–3, Red cards 1–0.
Yes — both Racing Santander and Alavés scored, finishing 2–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 55% before kickoff.