Racing Santander vs Alavés prediction — LaLiga · Sat 12 Sept · 13:00 UK

LaLiga · Sat 12 Sept · 13:00 UK
41Racing Santander win27Draw32Alavés win
Full time
2–1

How it finished

Racing Santander beat Alavés 2–1. Racing Santander had 11 shots (4 on target) to Alavés' 16 (8), with 57% of the ball against 43%. On expected goals it was 1.5 to 2.0, so Alavés created the better chances and still lost the game.

Racing…Full-time statsAlavés
57%Possession43%
1.5Expected goals (xG)2.0
11Shots16
4Shots on target8
8Shots inside box10
2Big chances4
4Corners6
7Saves2
16Fouls17
2Offsides9
2Yellow cards3
1Red cards0
We predicted
1–0
Likeliest score if Racing Santander win (10%). Single likeliest exact score: 1–1 (13%)
Expected goals
1.4v1.3
2.7 in total
Both teams score
55%
Leans yes
3+ goals
51%
Leans likely

What we expected from each side

The grey number is their average over the last six.

Racing SantanderRacing SantanderAlavésAlavés
1.4Goals1.3
12.8Shots11.1
4.0On target4.0
5.7Corners5.6
Racing SantanderRacing SantanderAlavésAlavés
1.0Goals0.4
6.6Shots4.9
2.2On target1.9
2.7Corners2.6
Racing SantanderRacing SantanderAlavésAlavés
0.4Goals0.8
6.2Shots6.2
1.7On target2.1
3.0Corners3.0

What we said the chances were

Racing Santander to score77%
Goal before half-time77%
2 or more goals75%
Alavés to score71%
3 goals or fewer71%

First half — what we expected

Racing Santander
64%
to score before half-time
Alavés
35%
to score before half-time

First half — what we expected

How likely we said each side was to reach these totals before half-time.

Racing SantanderRacing SantanderAlavésAlavés
59%6+ shots36%
35%8+ shots17%
86%1+ shots on target80%
38%3+ shots on target29%
70%2+ corners68%
29%4+ corners28%

League position

Alavés in their league tableLower half
Full-time recap →
Every Bawler's pick is logged before kickoff · Bawler's pick record →

Around this fixture

LaLiga table →
All fixtures & results →Racing Santander form →Alavés form →

Common questions

Who won Racing Santander vs Alavés?

Racing Santander beat Alavés 2–1. Racing Santander had 11 shots (4 on target) to Alavés' 16 (8), with 57% of the ball against 43%. On expected goals it was 1.5 to 2.0, so Alavés created the better chances and still lost the game.

What was the final score in Racing Santander vs Alavés?

Racing Santander 2–1 Alavés, played on 12 Sept 2026 in the Spain: La Liga. Bawler's model had gone into it with Racing Santander 41%, the draw 27% and Alavés 32%.

What were the stats in Racing Santander vs Alavés?

Full-time: Possession 57%–43%, Expected goals (xG) 1.5–2.0, Shots 11–16, Shots on target 4–8, Shots inside box 8–10, Big chances 2–4, Corners 4–6, Saves 7–2, Fouls 16–17, Offsides 2–9, Yellow cards 2–3, Red cards 1–0.

Did both teams score in Racing Santander vs Alavés?

Yes — both Racing Santander and Alavés scored, finishing 2–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 55% before kickoff.