Bawler's pick
3 legs, built by our modelPSV Eindhoven on top, with Sven Mijnans our likeliest to test the keeper.
PSV Eindhoven v Go Ahead Eagles prediction
Our model gives PSV Eindhoven a 75% chance of winning this Eredivisie game. A Go Ahead Eagles win is 10% and a draw 15%. If you want one score, our predicted score is PSV Eindhoven 2–1 Go Ahead Eagles, at 9%. Our expected goals are 2.9 for PSV Eindhoven and 1.0 for Go Ahead Eagles, 3.9 in all. Both teams scoring is 60% and three or more goals is 74%.
Of their last five meetings on our records, PSV Eindhoven have won three, Go Ahead Eagles two. When they last met, it finished Go Ahead Eagles 1–4 PSV Eindhoven, in May 2026. On shots, our forecast is 25.6 for PSV Eindhoven and 8.7 for Go Ahead Eagles, with 8.5 and 3.3 on target, and corners at 8.3 to 3.1. So we expect PSV Eindhoven to do more of the shooting.
In their last six games PSV Eindhoven have three wins, one draw and two defeats, while Go Ahead Eagles have two wins, two draws and two defeats. Both won their most recent match. Bawler's pick combines PSV Eindhoven or Draw, PSV Eindhoven Over 20.5 Shots and Sven Mijnans 1+ Shot on Target. We make the chance of all three coming in 53%, a fair price of 10/11 (1.90).
Written from the numbers on this page. These are forecasts, not certainties. 18+ Please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware.org
Players to watch
Numbers are if they start — lineups land about an hour before kickoff.
Most shots
Shots we expect them to takeMost on target
Shots on target we expectMost booked
Games per booking, from their latest season — a record, not a forecastWhat we expect from each side
The grey number is their average over the last six.
More chances
PSV Eindhoven · last 6
Go Ahead Eagles · last 6
League position
Head to head
First half — what we expect
First-half chances
How likely each side is to reach these totals before half-time.
Second half — who scores?
At half-time we update each side’s chance of scoring in the second half from what the first half showed.
What would change the call
PSV Eindhoven to win is 75% now. Here is what it would become at half-time:
Based on the half-time score alone — team news is not included.
Player forecasts
Shots we expect from each player if they start — lineups land about an hour before kickoff. From 2025/26–2026/27, all club matches.
1 in 3 = booked about once every three games last time out — a record, not a forecast. Players with fewer minutes are pulled toward the league average, so a small sample never reads as a certainty.
Around this fixture
Eredivisie table →Common questions
Who will win PSV Eindhoven vs Go Ahead Eagles?
Bawler's model rates this match: PSV Eindhoven are favoured (75% win probability vs 10% for Go Ahead Eagles, 15% draw). The model uses each side’s expected goals, recent form and the strength of the opposition.
What is the predicted score for PSV Eindhoven vs Go Ahead Eagles?
Bawler's predicted score is PSV Eindhoven 2-1 Go Ahead Eagles: the most likely score if PSV Eindhoven win, which is the likeliest result (75%). Our model puts that exact score at 8.5%. Expected total goals: 3.9.
How does Bawler predict PSV Eindhoven vs Go Ahead Eagles?
Bawler estimates each side's expected goals from its results and the quality of its chances, adjusted for the strength of the opposition and for home advantage, then works out the chance of every scoreline to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. Team news and lineups are not built into these numbers. For this match that gives PSV Eindhoven 75%, the draw 15% and Go Ahead Eagles 10%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.
Will both teams score in PSV Eindhoven vs Go Ahead Eagles?
Probably — Bawler's model gives both teams scoring a 60% chance. That is based on PSV Eindhoven expecting 2.87 goals and Go Ahead Eagles 1.00.
Over or under 2.5 goals in PSV Eindhoven vs Go Ahead Eagles?
Bawler's model expects 3.9 goals in total. It leans towards three or more goals: over 2.5 goals is 74%.
When are the PSV Eindhoven v Go Ahead Eagles line-ups announced?
Clubs usually name their line-ups about an hour before kickoff.
What is Bawler's pick for PSV Eindhoven v Go Ahead Eagles?
PSV Eindhoven or Draw (90%), PSV Eindhoven Over 20.5 Shots (78%), Sven Mijnans 1+ Shot on Target (65%). Our model gives all 3 landing together a 53% chance, a fair price of 10/11 (1.90). 18+, please gamble responsibly.