Bawler's pick
3 legs, built by our modelGo Ahead Eagles on top, and Søren Tengstedt getting plenty of shots away.
Go Ahead Eagles v Fortuna Sittard prediction
Go Ahead Eagles are favourites on our numbers: 47% to win, against 29% for Fortuna Sittard and 24% for a draw. Our predicted score is Go Ahead Eagles 2–1 Fortuna Sittard: the most likely score if Go Ahead Eagles win, at 9%. We expect 3.2 goals in total: 1.8 for Go Ahead Eagles and 1.4 for Fortuna Sittard. Both teams scoring is 63% and three or more goals is 62%.
Of their last five meetings on our records, Go Ahead Eagles and Fortuna Sittard have one win each, with three draws. When they last met, it finished Go Ahead Eagles 2–2 Fortuna Sittard, in Jan 2026. Go Ahead Eagles come in with one win, three draws and two defeats in their last six. Fortuna Sittard have two wins, four draws and no defeats over the same run.
For cards, Julius Dirksen (Go Ahead Eagles) has been booked once every 2 games in 2026/27, more often than anyone else here. On shots, our forecast is 16.2 for Go Ahead Eagles and 13.5 for Fortuna Sittard, with 5.8 and 4.6 on target, and corners at 6.8 to 3.6. For Bawler's pick we have gone with Go Ahead Eagles or Draw, Go Ahead Eagles Over 11.5 Shots and Søren Tengstedt 2+ Shots. The chance all three land is 45% on our numbers, so the fair price is 6/5, or 2.20.
Written from the numbers on this page. These are forecasts, not certainties. 18+ Please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware.org
Players to watch
Most booked
Games per booking, from their latest season — a record, not a forecastWhat we expect from each side
The grey number is their average over the last six.
More chances
Go Ahead Eagles · last 6
Fortuna Sittard · last 6
League position
Head to head
First half — what we expect
First-half chances
How likely each side is to reach these totals before half-time.
Second half — who scores?
At half-time we update each side’s chance of scoring in the second half from what the first half showed.
What would change the call
Go Ahead Eagles or draw is 71% now. Here is what it would become at half-time:
Based on the half-time score alone — team news is not included.
Around this fixture
Eredivisie table →Common questions
Who will win Go Ahead Eagles vs Fortuna Sittard?
Bawler's model rates this match: Go Ahead Eagles are favoured (47% win probability vs 29% for Fortuna Sittard, 24% draw). The model uses each side’s expected goals, recent form and the strength of the opposition.
What is the predicted score for Go Ahead Eagles vs Fortuna Sittard?
Bawler's predicted score is Go Ahead Eagles 2-1 Fortuna Sittard: the most likely score if Go Ahead Eagles win, which is the likeliest result (47%). Our model puts that exact score at 9.1%. Expected total goals: 3.2.
How does Bawler predict Go Ahead Eagles vs Fortuna Sittard?
Bawler estimates each side's expected goals from its results and the quality of its chances, adjusted for the strength of the opposition and for home advantage, then works out the chance of every scoreline to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. Team news and lineups are not built into these numbers. For this match that gives Go Ahead Eagles 47%, the draw 24% and Fortuna Sittard 29%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.
Will both teams score in Go Ahead Eagles vs Fortuna Sittard?
Probably — Bawler's model gives both teams scoring a 63% chance. That is based on Go Ahead Eagles expecting 1.80 goals and Fortuna Sittard 1.39.
Over or under 2.5 goals in Go Ahead Eagles vs Fortuna Sittard?
Bawler's model expects 3.2 goals in total. It leans towards three or more goals: over 2.5 goals is 62%.
When are the Go Ahead Eagles v Fortuna Sittard line-ups announced?
Clubs usually name their line-ups about an hour before kickoff.
What is Bawler's pick for Go Ahead Eagles v Fortuna Sittard?
Go Ahead Eagles or Draw (71%), Go Ahead Eagles Over 11.5 Shots (82%), Søren Tengstedt 2+ Shots (71%). Our model gives all 3 landing together a 45% chance, a fair price of 6/5 (2.20). 18+, please gamble responsibly.