FT · Netherlands: Eredivisie · Saturday, 07 November 2026
Excelsior 0–1 Go Ahead EaglesMatch recap · Saturday, 07 November 2026
How Bawler's pick did
Bawler's pickLost
Both Teams to Score✗
Over 26.5 Total Shots✗
Aymen Sliti 1+ Shot✓
Søren Tengstedt 1+ Shot✓
Logged before kickoff, settled from the final stats. Bawler's pick record →
Pre-match probability vs result
Excelsior win
43%
Draw
24%
Go Ahead Eagles win
33%
Result
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.8 – 1.5
Total 3.3
Actual
0 – 1
Total 1 (−2.3 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
0.8 – 0.6
From the match itself
The match produced 2.3 fewer goals than we forecast. That can be wasteful finishing, strong goalkeeping or chances we over-rated.