Poland vs Romania prediction — UEFA Nations League · Fri 2 Oct · 19:45 UK

UEFA Nations League · Fri 2 Oct · 19:45 UK
62Poland win22Draw16Romania win
Full time
6–0

How it finished

Poland beat Romania 6–0. Poland had 24 shots (9 on target) to Romania's 10 (3), with 67% of the ball against 33%. Expected goals finished 3.5 to 0.6.

PolandFull-time statsRomania
67%Possession33%
3.5Expected goals (xG)0.6
24Shots10
9Shots on target3
18Shots inside box6
4Big chances1
7Corners1
3Saves4
9Fouls11
0Offsides0
2Yellow cards3
0Red cards1
We expected
1–1
10% — the single most likely result
Expected goals
2.0v0.9
3.0 in total
Both teams score
53%
Leans yes
3+ goals
57%
Leans likely

What we expected from each side

The grey number is their average over the last six.

PolandPolandRomaniaRomania
2.0Goals0.9
PolandPolandRomaniaRomania
0.9Goals0.4
PolandPolandRomaniaRomania
1.1Goals0.5

Shots and corners are not shown for this match — one of these national teams has too few recorded games for us to forecast them.

What we said the chances were

Poland to score87%
2 or more goals80%
Goal before half-time73%
3 goals or fewer65%
Romania to score61%

First half — what we expected

Poland
59%
to score before half-time
Romania
34%
to score before half-time

Shots and corners are not shown for international matches yet — national teams play too few games for us to forecast them well.

Head to head

Oct 2026Poland 6–0 Romania
Jun 2017Poland 3–1 Romania
Nov 2016Romania 0–3 Poland
Feb 2013Poland 4–1 Romania
Full-time recap →
Every Bawler's pick is logged before kickoff · Bawler's pick record →

Around this fixture

All fixtures & results →Poland form →Romania form →

Common questions

Who won Poland vs Romania?

Poland beat Romania 6–0. Poland had 24 shots (9 on target) to Romania's 10 (3), with 67% of the ball against 33%. Expected goals finished 3.5 to 0.6.

What was the final score in Poland vs Romania?

Poland 6–0 Romania, played on 02 Oct 2026 in the Europe: UEFA Nations League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Poland 62%, the draw 22% and Romania 16%.

What were the stats in Poland vs Romania?

Full-time: Possession 67%–33%, Expected goals (xG) 3.5–0.6, Shots 24–10, Shots on target 9–3, Shots inside box 18–6, Big chances 4–1, Corners 7–1, Saves 3–4, Fouls 9–11, Offsides 0–0, Yellow cards 2–3, Red cards 0–1.

Did both teams score in Poland vs Romania?

No. It finished 6–0, so Romania failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 53% before kickoff.