Panama vs New Zealand prediction — International friendlies · Thu 1 Oct · 19:00 UK · Neutral venue

International friendlies · Thu 1 Oct · 19:00 UK · Neutral venue
49Panama win25Draw26New Zealand win
Our call before kickoff
74%
Panama or draw
Landed
Full time
Final 1–1

How it finished

Panama and New Zealand drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured Panama at 49% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 25%. It forecast 2.9 goals; only 2 were scored.

What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callPanama or draw 74%Draw (25% called)
Total goals2.92
Both teams to score56%Yes
Graded pickOver 1.5 goals 78%Landed
Second pickOver 2.5 goals 55%Missed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

We expected
1–1
12% — the single most likely result
Expected goals
1.7v1.2
2.9 in total
Both teams score
56%
Leans yes
3+ goals
55%
Leans likely

What we expected from each side

The grey number is their average over the last six.

PanamaPanamaNew ZealandNew Zealand
1.7Goals1.2
PanamaPanamaNew ZealandNew Zealand
0.8Goals0.5
PanamaPanamaNew ZealandNew Zealand
1.0Goals0.7

Shots and corners are not shown for this match — one of these national teams has too few recorded games for us to forecast them.

What we said the chances were

Panama to score82%
2 or more goals78%
Goal before half-time72%
New Zealand to score69%
3 goals or fewer68%

First half — what we expected

Panama
53%
to score before half-time
New Zealand
40%
to score before half-time

Shots and corners are not shown for international matches yet — national teams play too few games for us to forecast them well.

Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Around this fixture

Panama
Before this
25 SeptAIndia1–1 D
All fixtures & results →Panama form →New Zealand form →

Common questions

Who won Panama vs New Zealand?

Panama and New Zealand drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured Panama at 49% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 25%. It forecast 2.9 goals; only 2 were scored.

What was the final score in Panama vs New Zealand?

Panama 1–1 New Zealand, played on 01 Oct 2026 in the World: International Friendly. Bawler's model had gone into it with Panama 49%, the draw 25% and New Zealand 26%.

Did both teams score in Panama vs New Zealand?

Yes — both Panama and New Zealand scored, finishing 1–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 56% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Panama vs New Zealand right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Panama or draw 74%, it finished Draw (25% called); Total goals — we said 2.9, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 56%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 78%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said Over 2.5 goals 55%, it finished Missed.