How it finished
Pafos and RB Salzburg drew 3–3. Bawler's model favoured Pafos at 40% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 28%. It forecast 2.5 goals; the match produced 6. Pafos had 15 shots (9 on target) to RB Salzburg's 18 (6), with 52% of the ball against 48%. Expected goals finished 1.3 to 2.8.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
Model inputs
Common questions
Who won Pafos vs RB Salzburg?
Pafos and RB Salzburg drew 3–3. Bawler's model favoured Pafos at 40% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 28%. It forecast 2.5 goals; the match produced 6. Pafos had 15 shots (9 on target) to RB Salzburg's 18 (6), with 52% of the ball against 48%. Expected goals finished 1.3 to 2.8.
What was the final score in Pafos vs RB Salzburg?
Pafos 3–3 RB Salzburg, played on 13 Aug 2026 in the EUROPE: Europa League - Qualification. Bawler's model had gone into it with Pafos 40%, the draw 28% and RB Salzburg 32%.
What were the stats in Pafos vs RB Salzburg?
Full-time: Possession 52%–48%, Expected goals (xG) 1.3–2.8, Shots 15–18, Shots on target 9–6, Shots inside box 13–12, Big chances 1–4, Corners 4–2, Saves 3–6, Fouls 12–16, Offsides 2–2, Yellow cards 1–1.
Did both teams score in Pafos vs RB Salzburg?
Yes — both Pafos and RB Salzburg scored, finishing 3–3. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 50% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Pafos vs RB Salzburg right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said Pafos 40%, it finished Draw (28% called); Total goals — we said 2.5, it finished 6; Both teams to score — we said 50%, it finished Yes; Model call — we said Pafos or Draw 68%, it finished Landed; Second call — we said Over 2.5 Goals 52%, it finished Landed.