Bawler's pick
3 legs, built by our modelOFI Crete on top: we expect them to avoid defeat and do most of the shooting.
OFI Crete v Anderlecht prediction
Our model makes OFI Crete favourites for this Europa League game, giving them a 47% chance of winning. Anderlecht are 27% and the draw is 27%. If you want one score, our predicted score is OFI Crete 1–0 Anderlecht, the most likely OFI Crete win (10%). Our expected goals are 1.6 for OFI Crete and 1.1 for Anderlecht, 2.7 in all. Both teams scoring is 54% and three or more goals is 51%.
Mihajlo Cvetković is the player we expect to shoot most: 2.3 shots and 1.1 on target for Anderlecht, if they start. For cards, Giulian Biancone (Anderlecht) has been booked once every 2 games in 2026/27, more often than anyone else here. In their last six games OFI Crete have three wins, one draw and two defeats, while Anderlecht have three wins, one draw and two defeats. Both drew their most recent match.
They have met once on our records, and it ended OFI Crete 1–1 Anderlecht, in Dec 2022. On shots, our forecast is 14.1 for OFI Crete and 15.0 for Anderlecht, with 4.7 and 4.4 on target, and corners at 5.1 to 5.3. Bawler's pick for this game is OFI Crete or Draw, OFI Crete Over 10.5 Shots and OFI Crete Over 2.5 Shots on Target. Our model gives all three landing together a 48% chance, which makes the fair price 11/10 (2.06).
Written from the numbers on this page. These are forecasts, not certainties. 18+ Please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware.org
Players to watch
Numbers are if they start — lineups land about an hour before kickoff.
Most booked
Games per booking, from their latest season — a record, not a forecastWhat we expect from each side
The grey number is their average over the last six.
More chances
OFI Crete · last 6
Anderlecht · last 6
League position
Head to head
First half — what we expect
First-half chances
How likely each side is to reach these totals before half-time.
Second half — who scores?
At half-time we update each side’s chance of scoring in the second half from what the first half showed.
What would change the call
OFI Crete or draw is 73% now. Here is what it would become at half-time:
Based on the half-time score alone — team news is not included.
Player forecasts
Shots we expect from each player if they start — lineups land about an hour before kickoff. From 2025/26–2026/27, all club matches.
1 in 3 = booked about once every three games last time out — a record, not a forecast. Players with fewer minutes are pulled toward the league average, so a small sample never reads as a certainty.
Around this fixture
Jupiler Pro League table →Common questions
Who will win OFI Crete vs Anderlecht?
Bawler's model rates this match: OFI Crete are favoured (47% win probability vs 27% for Anderlecht, 27% draw). The model uses each side’s expected goals, recent form and the strength of the opposition.
What is the predicted score for OFI Crete vs Anderlecht?
Bawler's predicted score is OFI Crete 1-0 Anderlecht: the most likely score if OFI Crete win, which is the likeliest result (47%). Our model puts that exact score at 10.2%. Expected total goals: 2.7.
How does Bawler predict OFI Crete vs Anderlecht?
Bawler estimates each side's expected goals from its results and the quality of its chances, adjusted for the strength of the opposition and for home advantage, then works out the chance of every scoreline to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. Team news and lineups are not built into these numbers. For this match that gives OFI Crete 47%, the draw 27% and Anderlecht 27%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.
Will both teams score in OFI Crete vs Anderlecht?
Probably — Bawler's model gives both teams scoring a 54% chance. That is based on OFI Crete expecting 1.58 goals and Anderlecht 1.15.
Over or under 2.5 goals in OFI Crete vs Anderlecht?
Bawler's model expects 2.7 goals in total. It leans slightly towards three or more goals: over 2.5 goals is 51%.
When are the OFI Crete v Anderlecht line-ups announced?
Clubs usually name their line-ups about an hour before kickoff.
What is Bawler's pick for OFI Crete v Anderlecht?
OFI Crete or Draw (73%), OFI Crete Over 10.5 Shots (76%), OFI Crete Over 2.5 Shots on Target (81%). Our model gives all 3 landing together a 48% chance, a fair price of 11/10 (2.06). 18+, please gamble responsibly.