Bawler's pick
3 legs, built by our modelAnderlecht on top, with Mihajlo Cvetković our likeliest to test the keeper.
Anderlecht v OH Leuven prediction
Our model makes Anderlecht clear favourites for this Belgian Pro League game, with a 60% chance of winning. OH Leuven are given 18%, and the draw 23%. Our predicted score is Anderlecht 2–1 OH Leuven, the likeliest Anderlecht win score (10%). Anderlecht are expected to score 2.0 goals and OH Leuven 1.0, 3.0 between them. Both teams scoring is 55% and three or more goals is 58%.
Of their last five meetings on our records, Anderlecht have won one, OH Leuven none, and four were drawn. When they last met, it finished Anderlecht 5–1 OH Leuven, in Feb 2026. For cards, Marco Kana (Anderlecht) has been booked once every 2 games in 2026/27, more often than anyone else here.
Anderlecht come in with three wins, no draws and three defeats in their last six. OH Leuven have three wins, three draws and no defeats over the same run. On shots, our forecast is 21.2 for Anderlecht and 9.7 for OH Leuven, with 6.4 and 2.8 on target, and corners at 8.3 to 3.4. So we expect Anderlecht to do more of the shooting. Bawler's pick combines Anderlecht or Draw, Anderlecht Over 16.5 Shots and Mihajlo Cvetković 1+ Shot on Target. We make the chance of all three coming in 49%, a fair price of Evens (2.04).
Written from the numbers on this page. These are forecasts, not certainties. 18+ Please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware.org
Players to watch
Most booked
Games per booking, from their latest season — a record, not a forecastWhat we expect from each side
The grey number is their average over the last six.
More chances
Anderlecht · last 6
OH Leuven · last 6
League position
Head to head
First half — what we expect
First-half chances
How likely each side is to reach these totals before half-time.
Second half — who scores?
At half-time we update each side’s chance of scoring in the second half from what the first half showed.
What would change the call
Anderlecht to win is 60% now. Here is what it would become at half-time:
Based on the half-time score alone — team news is not included.
Around this fixture
Jupiler Pro League table →Common questions
Who will win Anderlecht vs OH Leuven?
Bawler's model rates this match: Anderlecht are favoured (60% win probability vs 18% for OH Leuven, 23% draw). The model uses each side’s expected goals, recent form and the strength of the opposition.
What is the predicted score for Anderlecht vs OH Leuven?
Bawler's predicted score is Anderlecht 2-1 OH Leuven: the most likely score if Anderlecht win, which is the likeliest result (60%). Our model puts that exact score at 9.8%. Expected total goals: 3.0.
How does Bawler predict Anderlecht vs OH Leuven?
Bawler estimates each side's expected goals from its results and the quality of its chances, adjusted for the strength of the opposition and for home advantage, then works out the chance of every scoreline to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. Team news and lineups are not built into these numbers. For this match that gives Anderlecht 60%, the draw 23% and OH Leuven 18%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.
Will both teams score in Anderlecht vs OH Leuven?
Probably — Bawler's model gives both teams scoring a 55% chance. That is based on Anderlecht expecting 2.00 goals and OH Leuven 1.02.
Over or under 2.5 goals in Anderlecht vs OH Leuven?
Bawler's model expects 3.0 goals in total. It leans slightly towards three or more goals: over 2.5 goals is 58%.
When are the Anderlecht v OH Leuven line-ups announced?
Clubs usually name their line-ups about an hour before kickoff.
What is Bawler's pick for Anderlecht v OH Leuven?
Anderlecht or Draw (82%), Anderlecht Over 16.5 Shots (78%), Mihajlo Cvetković 1+ Shot on Target (67%). Our model gives all 3 landing together a 49% chance, a fair price of Evens (2.04). 18+, please gamble responsibly.