How it finished
Montenegro beat Cyprus 2–1. Bawler's model had Montenegro in front at 50% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.4 goals and the match produced 3. Montenegro had 19 shots (4 on target) to Cyprus' 11 (4), with 64% of the ball against 36%. Expected goals finished 2.8 to 1.0.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected from each side before kickoff, next to how they had been doing.
Shots and corners are not shown for this match — one of these national teams has too few recorded games for us to forecast them. Each card is drawn on one scale, so the two bars are directly comparable. “Above recent” means our forecast is higher than their average over the last six.
What we published
How likely we said the big moments were, before kickoff.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 77%
Shots and corners are not shown for international matches yet — national teams play too few games for us to forecast them well.
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Montenegro vs Cyprus?
Montenegro beat Cyprus 2–1. Bawler's model had Montenegro in front at 50% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.4 goals and the match produced 3. Montenegro had 19 shots (4 on target) to Cyprus' 11 (4), with 64% of the ball against 36%. Expected goals finished 2.8 to 1.0.
What was the final score in Montenegro vs Cyprus?
Montenegro 2–1 Cyprus, played on 25 Sept 2026 in the Europe: UEFA Nations League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Montenegro 50%, the draw 23% and Cyprus 27%.
What were the stats in Montenegro vs Cyprus?
Full-time: Possession 64%–36%, Expected goals (xG) 2.8–1.0, Shots 19–11, Shots on target 4–4, Shots inside box 14–6, Big chances 3–1, Corners 8–1, Saves 3–2, Fouls 7–7, Offsides 1–2, Yellow cards 1–3.
Did both teams score in Montenegro vs Cyprus?
Yes — both Montenegro and Cyprus scored, finishing 2–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 65% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Montenegro vs Cyprus right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Montenegro or draw 73%, it finished Montenegro won (50% called); Total goals — we said 3.4, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 65%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 85%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said Montenegro to win 50%, it finished Landed.