Manchester City vs AFC Bournemouth prediction — Premier League · Sun 23 Aug · 14:00 UK

Premier League · Sun 23 Aug · 14:00 UK
Manchester City 53Draw 23AFC Bournemouth 24
The call
83%
Over 1.5 goals
3.2
Goals expected
Full time
Final 2–1

How it finished

Manchester City beat AFC Bournemouth 2–1. Bawler's model had Manchester City in front at 53% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.2 goals and the match produced 3. Manchester City had 13 shots (6 on target) to AFC Bournemouth's 5 (4), with 66% of the ball against 34%. Expected goals finished 2.4 to 0.6.

Manchester…Full-time statsBournemouth
66%Possession34%
2.4Expected goals (xG)0.6
13Shots5
6Shots on target4
11Shots inside box4
5Big chances1
8Corners3
3Saves4
11Fouls11
2Offsides1
1Yellow cards2
What we publishedBeforeAfter
ResultManchester City 53%Manchester City (53% called)
Total goals3.23
Both teams to score61%Yes
Model callOver 1.5 Goals 83%Landed
Second callHome Win 53%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

MarketProbability
Manchester City to score86%
Over 1.5 goals83%
AFC Bournemouth to score71%
Over 2.5 goals62%

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)+0.7 / match
Opponent strength indexBottom quartile
Full-time recap →
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Common questions

Who won Manchester City vs AFC Bournemouth?

Manchester City beat AFC Bournemouth 2–1. Bawler's model had Manchester City in front at 53% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.2 goals and the match produced 3. Manchester City had 13 shots (6 on target) to AFC Bournemouth's 5 (4), with 66% of the ball against 34%. Expected goals finished 2.4 to 0.6.

What was the final score in Manchester City vs AFC Bournemouth?

Manchester City 2–1 AFC Bournemouth, played on 23 Aug 2026 in the ENGLAND: Premier League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Manchester City 53%, the draw 23% and AFC Bournemouth 24%.

What were the stats in Manchester City vs AFC Bournemouth?

Full-time: Possession 66%–34%, Expected goals (xG) 2.4–0.6, Shots 13–5, Shots on target 6–4, Shots inside box 11–4, Big chances 5–1, Corners 8–3, Saves 3–4, Fouls 11–11, Offsides 2–1, Yellow cards 1–2.

Did both teams score in Manchester City vs AFC Bournemouth?

Yes — both Manchester City and AFC Bournemouth scored, finishing 2–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 61% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Manchester City vs AFC Bournemouth right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said Manchester City 53%, it finished Manchester City (53% called); Total goals — we said 3.2, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 61%, it finished Yes; Model call — we said Over 1.5 Goals 83%, it finished Landed; Second call — we said Home Win 53%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

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