Levski Sofia vs RB Salzburg prediction — Europa League · Thu 17 Sept · 17:45 UK

Europa League · Thu 17 Sept · 17:45 UK
Levski Sofia 34Draw 25RB Salzburg 41
The call
66%
RB Salzburg or draw
3.1
Goals expected
13d 07hUntil lineups lock

What we expect

Over 1.5 goals82%
RB Salzburg to score80%
Levski Sofia to score77%
Under 3.5 goals62%

Model inputs

Home form (last 6)W D W L W W
Expected goals gap (xG)-0.1 / match
Opponent strength indexTop quartile
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Common questions

Who will win Levski Sofia vs RB Salzburg?

Bawler's model rates this match: RB Salzburg are favoured (41% win probability vs 34% for Levski Sofia, 25% draw). The model uses rolling xG, recent form, and lineup data.

What is the predicted score for Levski Sofia vs RB Salzburg?

The most likely scoreline from Bawler's model is Levski Sofia 1-1 RB Salzburg (11.4% probability). Expected total goals: 3.11.

How does Bawler predict Levski Sofia vs RB Salzburg?

Bawler builds each side's expected goals from a rolling 26-match window, adjusts for home advantage and for injuries or absences in the confirmed squads, then runs the resulting scoreline distribution to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. For this match that gives Levski Sofia 34%, the draw 25% and RB Salzburg 41%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.

Will both teams score in Levski Sofia vs RB Salzburg?

BTTS: Yes (62% probability) — both attacks should find the net. Based on home expected goals 1.48 and away expected goals 1.63.

Over or under 2.5 goals in Levski Sofia vs RB Salzburg?

Bawler's model gives a combined expected-goals total of 3.11. The lean is Over 2.5 (a goal-fest is on the cards).

Around this fixture

All fixtures & results →Levski Sofia form →RB Salzburg form →