Lens vs AJ Auxerre prediction — Ligue 1 · Sat 22 Aug · 16:15 UK

Ligue 1 · Sat 22 Aug · 16:15 UK
Lens 64Draw 22AJ Auxerre 15
The call
85%
Lens or draw
2.9
Goals expected
Full time
Final 5–2

How it finished

Lens beat AJ Auxerre 5–2. Bawler's model had Lens in front at 64% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.9 goals; the match produced 7. Lens had 12 shots (9 on target) to AJ Auxerre's 10 (4), with 53% of the ball against 47%. Expected goals finished 4.5 to 1.8.

LensFull-time statsAJ Auxerre
53%Possession47%
4.5Expected goals (xG)1.8
12Shots10
9Shots on target4
10Shots inside box5
9Big chances2
4Corners7
2Saves4
6Fouls21
0Offsides3
1Yellow cards1
0Red cards1
What we publishedBeforeAfter
ResultLens 64%Lens (64% called)
Total goals2.97
Both teams to score50%Yes
Model call1X 85%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

MarketProbability
Lens to score87%
Over 1.5 goals79%
Under 3.5 goals67%

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)+1.2 / match
Head-to-head, last 5LEN 3 · D 1 · AJA 1
Opponent strength indexLower mid

Head to head

Jan 2026Lens 1–0 Auxerre
Oct 2025Auxerre 1–2 Lens
Apr 2025Lens 0–4 Auxerre
Dec 2024Auxerre 2–2 Lens
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Lens vs AJ Auxerre?

Lens beat AJ Auxerre 5–2. Bawler's model had Lens in front at 64% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.9 goals; the match produced 7. Lens had 12 shots (9 on target) to AJ Auxerre's 10 (4), with 53% of the ball against 47%. Expected goals finished 4.5 to 1.8.

What was the final score in Lens vs AJ Auxerre?

Lens 5–2 AJ Auxerre, played on 22 Aug 2026 in the FRANCE: Ligue 1. Bawler's model had gone into it with Lens 64%, the draw 22% and AJ Auxerre 15%.

What were the stats in Lens vs AJ Auxerre?

Full-time: Possession 53%–47%, Expected goals (xG) 4.5–1.8, Shots 12–10, Shots on target 9–4, Shots inside box 10–5, Big chances 9–2, Corners 4–7, Saves 2–4, Fouls 6–21, Offsides 0–3, Yellow cards 1–1, Red cards 0–1.

Did both teams score in Lens vs AJ Auxerre?

Yes — both Lens and AJ Auxerre scored, finishing 5–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 50% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Lens vs AJ Auxerre right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said Lens 64%, it finished Lens (64% called); Total goals — we said 2.9, it finished 7; Both teams to score — we said 50%, it finished Yes; Model call — we said 1X 85%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

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