How it finished
Levski Sofia beat Kairat Almaty 1–0. Bawler's model favoured Kairat Almaty at 40% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Levski Sofia 32%. It forecast 2.5 goals; only 1 was scored. Kairat Almaty had 20 shots (6 on target) to Levski Sofia's 9 (2), with 56% of the ball against 44%. On expected goals it was 1.2 to 1.1, so Kairat Almaty created the better chances and still lost the game.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
Model inputs
Common questions
Who won Kairat Almaty vs Levski Sofia?
Levski Sofia beat Kairat Almaty 1–0. Bawler's model favoured Kairat Almaty at 40% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Levski Sofia 32%. It forecast 2.5 goals; only 1 was scored. Kairat Almaty had 20 shots (6 on target) to Levski Sofia's 9 (2), with 56% of the ball against 44%. On expected goals it was 1.2 to 1.1, so Kairat Almaty created the better chances and still lost the game.
What was the final score in Kairat Almaty vs Levski Sofia?
Kairat Almaty 0–1 Levski Sofia, played on 11 Aug 2026 in the EUROPE: Champions League - Qualification. Bawler's model had gone into it with Kairat Almaty 40%, the draw 28% and Levski Sofia 32%.
What were the stats in Kairat Almaty vs Levski Sofia?
Full-time: Possession 56%–44%, Expected goals (xG) 1.2–1.1, Shots 20–9, Shots on target 6–2, Shots inside box 13–7, Big chances 2–2, Corners 9–4, Saves 1–6, Fouls 10–14, Offsides 3–1, Yellow cards 3–4.
Did both teams score in Kairat Almaty vs Levski Sofia?
No. It finished 0–1, so Kairat Almaty failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 50% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Kairat Almaty vs Levski Sofia right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said Kairat Almaty 40%, it finished Levski Sofia (32% called); Total goals — we said 2.5, it finished 1; Both teams to score — we said 50%, it finished No; Model call — we said Kairat Almaty or Draw 68%, it finished Missed; Second call — we said Over 2.5 Goals 52%, it finished Missed.