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Jordan vs Australia prediction — International friendlies · Tue 17 Nov · 16:00 UK

International friendlies · Tue 17 Nov · 16:00 UK
VersusAustraliaAustralia
22Jordan win27Draw52Australia win
The call
78%
Australia or draw
Likeliest score
1–1
13% — the single most likely result
Expected goals
1.0v1.6
2.5 in total
Both teams score
49%
Leans no
3+ goals
47%
Leans unlikely

What we expect from each side

The grey number is their average over the last six.

JordanJordanAustraliaAustralia
1.0Goals1.6
usually 0.7usually 1.0
12.5Shots9.2
usually 9.2usually 8.7
4.7On target3.2
usually 3.2usually 2.7
4.2Corners4.0
usually 2.0usually 4.8
JordanJordanAustraliaAustralia
0.4Goals0.7
5.7Shots4.2
usually 4.3usually 4.7
2.1On target1.4
usually 1.3usually 1.7
2.0Corners1.9
usually 0.8usually 3.3
JordanJordanAustraliaAustralia
0.5Goals0.9
6.8Shots5.0
2.6On target1.8
2.2Corners2.1

More chances

Australia to score80%
3 goals or fewer75%
2 or more goals72%
Goal before half-time68%
Jordan to score61%

Jordan · last 6

Dv Venezuela0–010/06
Dv Syria1–109/27
Lv Argentina1–35 shots
Lv Algeria1–28 shots
Lv Austria1–311 shots
Lv Colombia0–210 shots

Australia · last 6

Lv Brazil2–47 shots
Dv Brazil1–17 shots
Dv Egypt1–112 shots
Dv Paraguay0–012 shots
Lv USA0–25 shots
Wv Turkiye2–09 shots

Head to head

Jun 2022Australia 2–1 Jordan
Jun 2021Australia 1–0 Jordan
Nov 2019Jordan 0–1 Australia
Jan 2019Australia 0–1 Jordan
Mar 2016Australia 5–1 Jordan

First half — what we expect

Jordan
34%
to score before half-time
Australia
51%
to score before half-time

First-half chances

How likely each side is to reach these totals before half-time.

JordanJordanAustraliaAustralia
62%5+ shots40%
35%7+ shots18%
84%1+ shots on target72%
35%3+ shots on target19%
81%1+ corners79%
31%3+ corners29%

Second half — who scores?

At half-time we update each side’s chance of scoring in the second half from what the first half showed.

What would change the call

Australia or draw is 78% now. Here is what it would become at half-time:

Jordan lead 1–0 at half-time41%
Australia lead 1–0 at half-time97%
Goalless at half-time80%

Based on the half-time score alone — team news is not included.

Build a combination on this match →
Every Bawler's pick is logged before kickoff · Bawler's pick record →

Around this fixture

All fixtures & results →Jordan form →Australia form →

Common questions

Who will win Jordan vs Australia?

Bawler's model rates this match: Australia are favoured (52% win probability vs 22% for Jordan, 27% draw). The model uses each side’s expected goals, recent form and the strength of the opposition.

What is the predicted score for Jordan vs Australia?

The most likely scoreline from Bawler's model is Jordan 1-1 Australia (12.6% probability). Expected total goals: 2.5.

How does Bawler predict Jordan vs Australia?

Bawler estimates each side's expected goals from its results and the quality of its chances, adjusted for the strength of the opposition and for home advantage, then works out the chance of every scoreline to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. Team news and lineups are not built into these numbers. For this match that gives Jordan 22%, the draw 27% and Australia 52%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.

Will both teams score in Jordan vs Australia?

Probably not — Bawler's model gives both teams scoring a 49% chance, so at least one side is more likely than not to keep a clean sheet. That is based on Jordan expecting 0.95 goals and Australia 1.60.

Over or under 2.5 goals in Jordan vs Australia?

Bawler's model expects 2.5 goals in total. It leans slightly towards two goals or fewer: over 2.5 goals is 47%.