FT · World: International Friendly · Tuesday, 06 October 2026

Jordan 0–0 VenezuelaMatch recap & how our call landed · Tuesday, 06 October 2026

Our call before kickoff

Our call landed

Before kickoff our call was Jordan or draw at 69%. Bawler had Jordan at 42%, the draw at 27% and Venezuela at 31%. The match finished 0–0.

Pre-match probability vs result

Jordan win
42%
Draw
27%
Result
Venezuela win
31%

Goals we expected vs goals scored

Our forecast
1.5 – 1.2
Total 2.7
Actual
0 – 0
Total 0 (−2.7 against our forecast)

The match produced 2.7 fewer goals than we forecast. That can be wasteful finishing, strong goalkeeping or chances we over-rated.

Every graded pick · and how it landed

Graded pick · high confidence
Over 1.5 goals
Pre-match: 75%
Missed
Medium confidence
Over 2.5 goals
Pre-match: 50%
Missed
Outside shot
Draw
Pre-match: 27%
Landed

Each pick's figure is the one published with it before kickoff. It comes from a separate calculation, so a pick on the result can show a different number from the win/draw/win split above.

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