Hungary vs Georgia prediction — UEFA Nations League · Fri 2 Oct · 19:45 UK

UEFA Nations League · Fri 2 Oct · 19:45 UK
63Hungary win23Draw14Georgia win
Full time
1–0

How it finished

Hungary beat Georgia 1–0. Hungary had 26 shots (8 on target) to Georgia's 8 (3), with 42% of the ball against 58%. Expected goals finished 2.0 to 0.4.

HungaryFull-time statsGeorgia
42%Possession58%
2.0Expected goals (xG)0.4
26Shots8
8Shots on target3
17Shots inside box6
4Big chances1
8Corners4
3Saves5
18Fouls17
1Offsides4
3Yellow cards2
We expected
1–0
13% — the single most likely result
Expected goals
1.9v0.8
2.6 in total
Both teams score
45%
Leans no
3+ goals
49%
Leans unlikely

What we expected from each side

The grey number is their average over the last six.

HungaryHungaryGeorgiaGeorgia
1.9Goals0.8
HungaryHungaryGeorgiaGeorgia
0.8Goals0.3
HungaryHungaryGeorgiaGeorgia
1.0Goals0.4

Shots and corners are not shown for this match — one of these national teams has too few recorded games for us to forecast them.

What we said the chances were

Hungary to score84%
2 or more goals74%
3 goals or fewer73%
Goal before half-time69%

First half — what we expected

Hungary
56%
to score before half-time
Georgia
29%
to score before half-time

Shots and corners are not shown for international matches yet — national teams play too few games for us to forecast them well.

Head to head

Oct 2026Hungary 1–0 Georgia
Full-time recap →
Every Bawler's pick is logged before kickoff · Bawler's pick record →

Around this fixture

All fixtures & results →Hungary form →Georgia form →

Common questions

Who won Hungary vs Georgia?

Hungary beat Georgia 1–0. Hungary had 26 shots (8 on target) to Georgia's 8 (3), with 42% of the ball against 58%. Expected goals finished 2.0 to 0.4.

What was the final score in Hungary vs Georgia?

Hungary 1–0 Georgia, played on 02 Oct 2026 in the Europe: UEFA Nations League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Hungary 63%, the draw 23% and Georgia 14%.

What were the stats in Hungary vs Georgia?

Full-time: Possession 42%–58%, Expected goals (xG) 2.0–0.4, Shots 26–8, Shots on target 8–3, Shots inside box 17–6, Big chances 4–1, Corners 8–4, Saves 3–5, Fouls 18–17, Offsides 1–4, Yellow cards 3–2.

Did both teams score in Hungary vs Georgia?

No. It finished 1–0, so Georgia failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 45% before kickoff.