Hull City beat Manchester United 2–0. Bawler's model favoured Manchester United at 73% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Hull City 10%. It forecast 3.3 goals; only 2 were scored. Hull City had 8 shots (4 on target) to Manchester United's 21 (5), with 28% of the ball against 72%. On expected goals it was 1.3 to 1.8, so Manchester United created the better chances and still lost the game.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
Hull City beat Manchester United 2–0. Bawler's model favoured Manchester United at 73% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Hull City 10%. It forecast 3.3 goals; only 2 were scored. Hull City had 8 shots (4 on target) to Manchester United's 21 (5), with 28% of the ball against 72%. On expected goals it was 1.3 to 1.8, so Manchester United created the better chances and still lost the game.
Hull City 2–0 Manchester United, played on 22 Aug 2026 in the ENGLAND: Premier League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Hull City 10%, the draw 17% and Manchester United 73%.
Full-time: Possession 28%–72%, Expected goals (xG) 1.3–1.8, Shots 8–21, Shots on target 4–5, Shots inside box 5–15, Big chances 3–2, Corners 1–6, Saves 5–2, Fouls 10–9, Offsides 0–3, Yellow cards 2–1.
No. It finished 2–0, so Manchester United failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 53% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said Manchester United 73%, it finished Hull City (10% called); Total goals — we said 3.3, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 53%, it finished No; Model call — we said X2 90%, it finished Missed.