Hull City vs Manchester United prediction — Premier League · Sat 22 Aug · 12:30 UK

Premier League · Sat 22 Aug · 12:30 UK
Hull City 10Draw 17Manchester United 73
The call
90%
Manchester United or draw
3.3
Goals expected
Full time
Final 2–0

How it finished

Hull City beat Manchester United 2–0. Bawler's model favoured Manchester United at 73% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Hull City 10%. It forecast 3.3 goals; only 2 were scored. Hull City had 8 shots (4 on target) to Manchester United's 21 (5), with 28% of the ball against 72%. On expected goals it was 1.3 to 1.8, so Manchester United created the better chances and still lost the game.

Hull CityFull-time statsManchester…
28%Possession72%
1.3Expected goals (xG)1.8
8Shots21
4Shots on target5
5Shots inside box15
3Big chances2
1Corners6
5Saves2
10Fouls9
0Offsides3
2Yellow cards1
What we publishedBeforeAfter
ResultManchester United 73%Hull City (10% called)
Total goals3.32
Both teams to score53%No
Model callX2 90%Missed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

MarketProbability
Manchester United to score92%
Over 1.5 goals85%
Over 2.5 goals65%

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)-1.6 / match
Opponent strength indexLower mid
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Common questions

Who won Hull City vs Manchester United?

Hull City beat Manchester United 2–0. Bawler's model favoured Manchester United at 73% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Hull City 10%. It forecast 3.3 goals; only 2 were scored. Hull City had 8 shots (4 on target) to Manchester United's 21 (5), with 28% of the ball against 72%. On expected goals it was 1.3 to 1.8, so Manchester United created the better chances and still lost the game.

What was the final score in Hull City vs Manchester United?

Hull City 2–0 Manchester United, played on 22 Aug 2026 in the ENGLAND: Premier League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Hull City 10%, the draw 17% and Manchester United 73%.

What were the stats in Hull City vs Manchester United?

Full-time: Possession 28%–72%, Expected goals (xG) 1.3–1.8, Shots 8–21, Shots on target 4–5, Shots inside box 5–15, Big chances 3–2, Corners 1–6, Saves 5–2, Fouls 10–9, Offsides 0–3, Yellow cards 2–1.

Did both teams score in Hull City vs Manchester United?

No. It finished 2–0, so Manchester United failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 53% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Hull City vs Manchester United right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said Manchester United 73%, it finished Hull City (10% called); Total goals — we said 3.3, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 53%, it finished No; Model call — we said X2 90%, it finished Missed.

Around this fixture

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