Heerenveen vs FC Twente prediction — Eredivisie · Sun 9 Aug · 15:45 UK

Eredivisie · Sun 9 Aug · 15:45 UK
Heerenveen 47Draw 28FC Twente 26
The call
80%
Over 1.5 goals
3.2
Goals expected
Full time
Final 1–0

How it finished

Heerenveen beat FC Twente 1–0. Bawler's model had Heerenveen in front at 47% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.2 goals; only 1 was scored. Heerenveen had 7 shots (4 on target) to FC Twente's 19 (3), with 46% of the ball against 54%. On expected goals it was 0.4 to 1.7, so FC Twente created the better chances and still lost the game.

HeerenveenFull-time statsFC Twente
46%Possession54%
0.4Expected goals (xG)1.7
7Shots19
4Shots on target3
4Shots inside box15
0Big chances3
4Corners8
3Saves3
7Fouls7
2Offsides2
2Yellow cards1
What we publishedBeforeAfter
ResultHeerenveen 47%Heerenveen (47% called)
Total goals3.21
Both teams to score62%No
Model callOver 1.5 Goals 80%Missed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

MarketProbability
Heerenveen to score84%
Over 1.5 goals83%
FC Twente to score74%
Over 2.5 goals62%

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)+0.5 / match
Opponent strength indexTop quartile
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Heerenveen vs FC Twente?

Heerenveen beat FC Twente 1–0. Bawler's model had Heerenveen in front at 47% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.2 goals; only 1 was scored. Heerenveen had 7 shots (4 on target) to FC Twente's 19 (3), with 46% of the ball against 54%. On expected goals it was 0.4 to 1.7, so FC Twente created the better chances and still lost the game.

What was the final score in Heerenveen vs FC Twente?

Heerenveen 1–0 FC Twente, played on 09 Aug 2026 in the NETHERLANDS: Eredivisie. Bawler's model had gone into it with Heerenveen 47%, the draw 28% and FC Twente 26%.

What were the stats in Heerenveen vs FC Twente?

Full-time: Possession 46%–54%, Expected goals (xG) 0.4–1.7, Shots 7–19, Shots on target 4–3, Shots inside box 4–15, Big chances 0–3, Corners 4–8, Saves 3–3, Fouls 7–7, Offsides 2–2, Yellow cards 2–1.

Did both teams score in Heerenveen vs FC Twente?

No. It finished 1–0, so FC Twente failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 62% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Heerenveen vs FC Twente right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said Heerenveen 47%, it finished Heerenveen (47% called); Total goals — we said 3.2, it finished 1; Both teams to score — we said 62%, it finished No; Model call — we said Over 1.5 Goals 80%, it finished Missed.

Around this fixture

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