Heart of Midlothian vs Rapid Vienna prediction — Conference League - Qualification · Thu 20 Aug · 19:45 UK

Conference League - Qualification · Thu 20 Aug · 19:45 UK
Heart of Midlothian 40Draw 27Rapid Vienna 33
Our call before kickoff
67%
Heart of Midlothian or draw
Landed
2.8
Goals expected
Full time
Final 2–2
Both teams score (before kick-off)
57%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
53%

How it finished

Heart of Midlothian and Rapid Vienna drew 2–2. Bawler's model favoured Heart of Midlothian at 40% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 27%. It forecast 2.8 goals; the match produced 4. Heart of Midlothian had 17 shots (4 on target) to Rapid Vienna's 9 (6), with 39% of the ball against 61%. Expected goals finished 0.6 to 1.3.

Heart of…Full-time statsRapid Vienna
39%Possession61%
0.6Expected goals (xG)1.3
17Shots9
4Shots on target6
7Shots inside box7
0Big chances3
4Corners5
4Saves3
8Fouls17
2Offsides0
1Yellow cards4
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callHeart of Midlothian or draw 67%Draw (27% called)
Total goals2.84
Both teams to score57%Yes
Graded pickOver 1.5 goals 77%Landed
Second pickOver 2.5 goals 53%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

Heart of MidlothianRapid Vienna
1.5
Goals+0.1
1.3

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Heart of Midlothian to score77%
Over 1.5 goals77%
Rapid Vienna to score74%
Under 3.5 goals69%

No first-half forecast for this fixture.

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)+0.1 / match
Rapid Vienna in their league tableTop quarter
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Heart of Midlothian vs Rapid Vienna?

Heart of Midlothian and Rapid Vienna drew 2–2. Bawler's model favoured Heart of Midlothian at 40% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 27%. It forecast 2.8 goals; the match produced 4. Heart of Midlothian had 17 shots (4 on target) to Rapid Vienna's 9 (6), with 39% of the ball against 61%. Expected goals finished 0.6 to 1.3.

What was the final score in Heart of Midlothian vs Rapid Vienna?

Heart of Midlothian 2–2 Rapid Vienna, played on 20 Aug 2026 in the EUROPE: Conference League - Qualification. Bawler's model had gone into it with Heart of Midlothian 40%, the draw 27% and Rapid Vienna 33%.

What were the stats in Heart of Midlothian vs Rapid Vienna?

Full-time: Possession 39%–61%, Expected goals (xG) 0.6–1.3, Shots 17–9, Shots on target 4–6, Shots inside box 7–7, Big chances 0–3, Corners 4–5, Saves 4–3, Fouls 8–17, Offsides 2–0, Yellow cards 1–4.

Did both teams score in Heart of Midlothian vs Rapid Vienna?

Yes — both Heart of Midlothian and Rapid Vienna scored, finishing 2–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 57% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Heart of Midlothian vs Rapid Vienna right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Heart of Midlothian or draw 67%, it finished Draw (27% called); Total goals — we said 2.8, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 57%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 77%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said Over 2.5 goals 53%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

Premiership table →
All fixtures & results →Heart of Midlothian form →Rapid Vienna form →