Hapoel Be'er vs Dinamo Zagreb prediction — Europa League · Wed 16 Sept · 20:00 UK

Europa League · Wed 16 Sept · 20:00 UK
Hapoel Be'er 36Draw 26Dinamo Zagreb 39
The call
64%
Dinamo Zagreb or draw
3.0
Goals expected
12d 09hUntil lineups lock

What we expect

Over 1.5 goals80%
Dinamo Zagreb to score78%
Hapoel Be'er to score77%
Under 3.5 goals65%

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)-0.1 / match
Head-to-head, last 5HAP 0 · D 1 · DIN 1
Opponent strength indexUpper mid

Head to head

Jul 2018Hapoel Beer Sheva 2–2 Dinamo Zagreb
Jul 2018Dinamo Zagreb 5–0 Hapoel Beer Sheva
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Common questions

Who will win Hapoel Be'er vs Dinamo Zagreb?

Bawler's model rates this match: Dinamo Zagreb are favoured (39% win probability vs 36% for Hapoel Be'er, 26% draw). The model uses rolling xG, recent form, and lineup data.

What is the predicted score for Hapoel Be'er vs Dinamo Zagreb?

The most likely scoreline from Bawler's model is Hapoel Be'er 1-1 Dinamo Zagreb (11.9% probability). Expected total goals: 3.00.

How does Bawler predict Hapoel Be'er vs Dinamo Zagreb?

Bawler builds each side's expected goals from a rolling 26-match window, adjusts for home advantage and for injuries or absences in the confirmed squads, then runs the resulting scoreline distribution to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. For this match that gives Hapoel Be'er 36%, the draw 26% and Dinamo Zagreb 39%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.

Will both teams score in Hapoel Be'er vs Dinamo Zagreb?

BTTS: Yes (60% probability) — both attacks should find the net. Based on home expected goals 1.47 and away expected goals 1.53.

Over or under 2.5 goals in Hapoel Be'er vs Dinamo Zagreb?

Bawler's model gives a combined expected-goals total of 3.00. The lean is Over 2.5 (a goal-fest is on the cards).

Around this fixture

All fixtures & results →Hapoel Be'er form →Dinamo Zagreb form →