How it finished
Greece and Netherlands drew 2–2. Bawler's model favoured Netherlands at 62% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 23%. It forecast 2.8 goals; the match produced 4. Greece had 8 shots (4 on target) to Netherlands' 19 (5), with 29% of the ball against 71%. Expected goals finished 1.0 to 1.2.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected from each side
The grey number is their average over the last six.
Shots and corners are not shown for this match — one of these national teams has too few recorded games for us to forecast them.
What we said the chances were
First half — what we expected
Shots and corners are not shown for international matches yet — national teams play too few games for us to forecast them well.
Head to head
Around this fixture
Common questions
Who won Greece vs Netherlands?
Greece and Netherlands drew 2–2. Bawler's model favoured Netherlands at 62% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 23%. It forecast 2.8 goals; the match produced 4. Greece had 8 shots (4 on target) to Netherlands' 19 (5), with 29% of the ball against 71%. Expected goals finished 1.0 to 1.2.
What was the final score in Greece vs Netherlands?
Greece 2–2 Netherlands, played on 01 Oct 2026 in the Europe: UEFA Nations League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Greece 15%, the draw 23% and Netherlands 62%.
What were the stats in Greece vs Netherlands?
Full-time: Possession 29%–71%, Expected goals (xG) 1.0–1.2, Shots 8–19, Shots on target 4–5, Shots inside box 8–14, Big chances 3–1, Corners 6–8, Saves 3–2, Fouls 6–7, Offsides 3–4, Yellow cards 2–1.
Did both teams score in Greece vs Netherlands?
Yes — both Greece and Netherlands scored, finishing 2–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 49% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Greece vs Netherlands right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Netherlands to win 62%, it finished Draw (23% called); Total goals — we said 2.8, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 49%, it finished Yes; Second pick — we said Over 2.5 goals 52%, it finished Landed.