Gornik Zabrze vs Ferencvaros prediction — Europa League - Qualification · Thu 13 Aug · 18:00 UK

Europa League - Qualification · Thu 13 Aug · 18:00 UK
Gornik Zabrze 40Draw 28Ferencvaros 32
The call
68%
Gornik Zabrze or draw
2.5
Goals expected
Full time
Final 1–1

How it finished

Gornik Zabrze and Ferencvaros drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured Gornik Zabrze at 40% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 28%. It forecast 2.5 goals and the match produced 2. Gornik Zabrze had 19 shots (5 on target) to Ferencvaros' 10 (3), with 57% of the ball against 43%. Expected goals finished 1.9 to 0.8.

Gornik ZabrzeFull-time statsFerencvaros
57%Possession43%
1.9Expected goals (xG)0.8
19Shots10
5Shots on target3
9Shots inside box6
2Big chances0
9Corners6
3Saves4
11Fouls12
0Offsides1
0Yellow cards2
What we publishedBeforeAfter
ResultGornik Zabrze 40%Draw (28% called)
Total goals2.52
Both teams to score50%Yes
Model callGornik Zabrze or Draw 68%Landed
Second callOver 2.5 Goals 52%Missed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

MarketProbability
Under 3.5 goals76%
Gornik Zabrze to score74%
Over 1.5 goals71%
Ferencvaros to score69%

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)+0.2 / match
Opponent strength indexUpper mid
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Gornik Zabrze vs Ferencvaros?

Gornik Zabrze and Ferencvaros drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured Gornik Zabrze at 40% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 28%. It forecast 2.5 goals and the match produced 2. Gornik Zabrze had 19 shots (5 on target) to Ferencvaros' 10 (3), with 57% of the ball against 43%. Expected goals finished 1.9 to 0.8.

What was the final score in Gornik Zabrze vs Ferencvaros?

Gornik Zabrze 1–1 Ferencvaros, played on 13 Aug 2026 in the EUROPE: Europa League - Qualification. Bawler's model had gone into it with Gornik Zabrze 40%, the draw 28% and Ferencvaros 32%.

What were the stats in Gornik Zabrze vs Ferencvaros?

Full-time: Possession 57%–43%, Expected goals (xG) 1.9–0.8, Shots 19–10, Shots on target 5–3, Shots inside box 9–6, Big chances 2–0, Corners 9–6, Saves 3–4, Fouls 11–12, Offsides 0–1, Yellow cards 0–2.

Did both teams score in Gornik Zabrze vs Ferencvaros?

Yes — both Gornik Zabrze and Ferencvaros scored, finishing 1–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 50% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Gornik Zabrze vs Ferencvaros right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said Gornik Zabrze 40%, it finished Draw (28% called); Total goals — we said 2.5, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 50%, it finished Yes; Model call — we said Gornik Zabrze or Draw 68%, it finished Landed; Second call — we said Over 2.5 Goals 52%, it finished Missed.

Around this fixture

All fixtures & results →Gornik Zabrze form →Ferencvaros form →