Greece beat Germany 1–0. Germany had 16 shots (5 on target) to Greece's 8 (1), with 76% of the ball against 24%. On expected goals it was 1.3 to 0.8, so Germany created the better chances and still lost the game.
The grey number is their average over the last six.
Shots and corners are not shown for this match — one of these national teams has too few recorded games for us to forecast them.
Shots and corners are not shown for international matches yet — national teams play too few games for us to forecast them well.
Greece beat Germany 1–0. Germany had 16 shots (5 on target) to Greece's 8 (1), with 76% of the ball against 24%. On expected goals it was 1.3 to 0.8, so Germany created the better chances and still lost the game.
Germany 0–1 Greece, played on 27 Sept 2026 in the Europe: UEFA Nations League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Germany 86%, the draw 10% and Greece 4%.
Full-time: Possession 76%–24%, Expected goals (xG) 1.3–0.8, Shots 16–8, Shots on target 5–1, Shots inside box 8–5, Big chances 1–1, Corners 8–2, Saves 0–5, Fouls 12–11, Offsides 1–1, Yellow cards 1–4.
No. It finished 0–1, so Germany failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 41% before kickoff.