Germany vs Greece prediction — UEFA Nations League · Sun 27 Sept · 19:45 UK

UEFA Nations League · Sun 27 Sept · 19:45 UK
86Germany win10Draw4Greece win
Full time
0–1

How it finished

Greece beat Germany 1–0. Germany had 16 shots (5 on target) to Greece's 8 (1), with 76% of the ball against 24%. On expected goals it was 1.3 to 0.8, so Germany created the better chances and still lost the game.

GermanyFull-time statsGreece
76%Possession24%
1.3Expected goals (xG)0.8
16Shots8
5Shots on target1
8Shots inside box5
1Big chances1
8Corners2
0Saves5
12Fouls11
1Offsides1
1Yellow cards4
We predicted
3–0
Germany to win · 13% for this exact score
Expected goals
3.1v0.6
3.6 in total
Both teams score
41%
Leans no
3+ goals
70%
Likely

What we expected from each side

The grey number is their average over the last six.

GermanyGermanyGreeceGreece
3.1Goals0.6
GermanyGermanyGreeceGreece
1.4Goals0.2
GermanyGermanyGreeceGreece
1.7Goals0.3

Shots and corners are not shown for this match — one of these national teams has too few recorded games for us to forecast them.

What we said the chances were

2 or more goals88%
Goal before half-time80%

First half — what we expected

Germany
74%
to score before half-time
Greece
22%
to score before half-time

Shots and corners are not shown for international matches yet — national teams play too few games for us to forecast them well.

Head to head

Jun 2024Germany 2–1 Greece
Jun 2012Germany 4–2 Greece
Full-time recap →
Every Bawler's pick is logged before kickoff · Bawler's pick record →

Around this fixture

All fixtures & results →Germany form →Greece form →

Common questions

Who won Germany vs Greece?

Greece beat Germany 1–0. Germany had 16 shots (5 on target) to Greece's 8 (1), with 76% of the ball against 24%. On expected goals it was 1.3 to 0.8, so Germany created the better chances and still lost the game.

What was the final score in Germany vs Greece?

Germany 0–1 Greece, played on 27 Sept 2026 in the Europe: UEFA Nations League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Germany 86%, the draw 10% and Greece 4%.

What were the stats in Germany vs Greece?

Full-time: Possession 76%–24%, Expected goals (xG) 1.3–0.8, Shots 16–8, Shots on target 5–1, Shots inside box 8–5, Big chances 1–1, Corners 8–2, Saves 0–5, Fouls 12–11, Offsides 1–1, Yellow cards 1–4.

Did both teams score in Germany vs Greece?

No. It finished 0–1, so Germany failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 41% before kickoff.