Before kickoff our call was Germany to win at 93%. Bawler had Germany at 93%, the draw at 6% and Serbia at 1%. The match finished 2–0.
The match produced 2.1 fewer goals than we forecast. That can be wasteful finishing, strong goalkeeping or chances we over-rated.
Each pick's figure is the one published with it before kickoff. It comes from a separate calculation, so a pick on the result can show a different number from the win/draw/win split above.