FT · Italy: Serie A · Sunday, 08 November 2026
Genoa 1–2 AC MilanMatch recap · Sunday, 08 November 2026
How Bawler's pick did
Bawler's pickLost
AC Milan or Draw✓
AC Milan Over 8.5 Shots✗
Gonçalo Ramos 2+ Shots✗
Logged before kickoff, settled from the final stats. Bawler's pick record →
Pre-match probability vs result
Genoa win
28%
Draw
27%
AC Milan win
45%
Result
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.2 – 1.5
Total 2.7
Actual
1 – 2
Total 3 (+0.3 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
1.1 – 0.6
From the match itself
The match produced about as many goals as we forecast — within 0.3 of our 2.7.