Fulham vs Chelsea prediction — Premier League · Mon 24 Aug · 20:00 UK

Premier League · Mon 24 Aug · 20:00 UK
Fulham 39Draw 26Chelsea 35
The call
79%
Over 1.5 goals
2.9
Goals expected
Full time
Final 2–3

How it finished

Chelsea beat Fulham 3–2. Bawler's model favoured Fulham at 39% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Chelsea 35%. It forecast 2.9 goals; the match produced 5. Fulham had 14 shots (6 on target) to Chelsea's 18 (6), with 61% of the ball against 39%. Expected goals finished 1.4 to 1.7.

FulhamFull-time statsChelsea
61%Possession39%
1.4Expected goals (xG)1.7
14Shots18
6Shots on target6
7Shots inside box13
2Big chances4
6Corners4
3Saves4
12Fouls7
0Offsides3
2Yellow cards3
What we publishedBeforeAfter
ResultFulham 39%Chelsea (35% called)
Total goals2.95
Both teams to score59%Yes
Model callOver 1.5 Goals 79%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

MarketProbability
Over 1.5 goals79%
Fulham to score78%
Chelsea to score75%
Under 3.5 goals67%

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)+0.1 / match
Head-to-head, last 5FUL 2 · D 0 · CHE 3
Opponent strength indexUpper mid

Head to head

Jan 2026Fulham 2–1 Chelsea
Aug 2025Chelsea 2–0 Fulham
Apr 2025Fulham 1–2 Chelsea
Dec 2024Chelsea 1–2 Fulham
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Fulham vs Chelsea?

Chelsea beat Fulham 3–2. Bawler's model favoured Fulham at 39% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Chelsea 35%. It forecast 2.9 goals; the match produced 5. Fulham had 14 shots (6 on target) to Chelsea's 18 (6), with 61% of the ball against 39%. Expected goals finished 1.4 to 1.7.

What was the final score in Fulham vs Chelsea?

Fulham 2–3 Chelsea, played on 24 Aug 2026 in the ENGLAND: Premier League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Fulham 39%, the draw 26% and Chelsea 35%.

What were the stats in Fulham vs Chelsea?

Full-time: Possession 61%–39%, Expected goals (xG) 1.4–1.7, Shots 14–18, Shots on target 6–6, Shots inside box 7–13, Big chances 2–4, Corners 6–4, Saves 3–4, Fouls 12–7, Offsides 0–3, Yellow cards 2–3.

Did both teams score in Fulham vs Chelsea?

Yes — both Fulham and Chelsea scored, finishing 2–3. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 59% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Fulham vs Chelsea right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said Fulham 39%, it finished Chelsea (35% called); Total goals — we said 2.9, it finished 5; Both teams to score — we said 59%, it finished Yes; Model call — we said Over 1.5 Goals 79%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

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All fixtures & results →Fulham form →Chelsea form →