Finland beat Albania 2–1. Finland had 11 shots (3 on target) to Albania's 13 (5), with 60% of the ball against 40%. On expected goals it was 0.5 to 1.0, so Albania created the better chances and still lost the game.
The grey number is their average over the last six.
Shots and corners are not shown for this match — one of these national teams has too few recorded games for us to forecast them.
Shots and corners are not shown for international matches yet — national teams play too few games for us to forecast them well.
Finland beat Albania 2–1. Finland had 11 shots (3 on target) to Albania's 13 (5), with 60% of the ball against 40%. On expected goals it was 0.5 to 1.0, so Albania created the better chances and still lost the game.
Finland 2–1 Albania, played on 03 Oct 2026 in the Europe: UEFA Nations League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Finland 44%, the draw 29% and Albania 27%.
Full-time: Possession 60%–40%, Expected goals (xG) 0.5–1.0, Shots 11–13, Shots on target 3–5, Shots inside box 3–11, Big chances 0–1, Corners 7–6, Saves 4–1, Fouls 13–10, Offsides 1–3, Yellow cards 1–3, Red cards 0–1.
Yes — both Finland and Albania scored, finishing 2–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 47% before kickoff.