Ferencvaros vs Trabzonspor prediction — Europa League - Qualification · Thu 27 Aug · 19:30 UK

Europa League - Qualification · Thu 27 Aug · 19:30 UK
Ferencvaros 54Draw 25Trabzonspor 22
The call
78%
Ferencvaros or draw
2.8
Goals expected
Full time
Final 4–0

How it finished

Ferencvaros beat Trabzonspor 4–0. Bawler's model had Ferencvaros in front at 54% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.8 goals; the match produced 4. Ferencvaros had 27 shots (11 on target) to Trabzonspor's 6 (2), with 68% of the ball against 32%. Expected goals finished 3.7 to 0.5.

FerencvarosFull-time statsTrabzonspor
68%Possession32%
3.7Expected goals (xG)0.5
27Shots6
11Shots on target2
19Shots inside box3
6Big chances1
9Corners4
2Saves7
10Fouls14
2Offsides0
1Yellow cards3
0Red cards2
What we publishedBeforeAfter
ResultFerencvaros 54%Ferencvaros (54% called)
Total goals2.84
Both teams to score54%No
Model call1X 78%Landed
Second callOver 2.5 Goals 54%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

MarketProbability
Ferencvaros to score83%
Over 1.5 goals77%
Under 3.5 goals68%
Trabzonspor to score65%

First half — what we expected

FerencvarosBefore half-timeTrabzonspor
55%Chance to score38%
6.8Expected shots4.6
1.3Expected shots on target1.6
1.9Expected corners2.4
66%Chance of 6+ shots31%
38%Chance of 8+ shots11%
65%Chance of 1+ shots on target65%
15%Chance of 3+ shots on target21%
82%Chance of 1+ corners89%
30%Chance of 3+ corners42%

Chance of at least one first-half goal: 72%. Based on how often each side shoots and wins corners before the break, not a share of their full-match numbers.

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)+0.7 / match
Head-to-head, last 5FER 1 · D 0 · TRA 1
Opponent strength indexUpper mid

Head to head

Nov 2022Trabzonspor 1–0 Ferencvaros
Sept 2022Ferencvaros 3–2 Trabzonspor
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Ferencvaros vs Trabzonspor?

Ferencvaros beat Trabzonspor 4–0. Bawler's model had Ferencvaros in front at 54% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.8 goals; the match produced 4. Ferencvaros had 27 shots (11 on target) to Trabzonspor's 6 (2), with 68% of the ball against 32%. Expected goals finished 3.7 to 0.5.

What was the final score in Ferencvaros vs Trabzonspor?

Ferencvaros 4–0 Trabzonspor, played on 27 Aug 2026 in the Europe: Europa League - Qualification. Bawler's model had gone into it with Ferencvaros 54%, the draw 25% and Trabzonspor 22%.

What were the stats in Ferencvaros vs Trabzonspor?

Full-time: Possession 68%–32%, Expected goals (xG) 3.7–0.5, Shots 27–6, Shots on target 11–2, Shots inside box 19–3, Big chances 6–1, Corners 9–4, Saves 2–7, Fouls 10–14, Offsides 2–0, Yellow cards 1–3, Red cards 0–2.

Did both teams score in Ferencvaros vs Trabzonspor?

No. It finished 4–0, so Trabzonspor failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 54% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Ferencvaros vs Trabzonspor right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said Ferencvaros 54%, it finished Ferencvaros (54% called); Total goals — we said 2.8, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 54%, it finished No; Model call — we said 1X 78%, it finished Landed; Second call — we said Over 2.5 Goals 54%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

Süper Lig table →
All fixtures & results →Ferencvaros form →Trabzonspor form →