Egnatia vs Lillestrom prediction — Europa League - Qualification · Thu 20 Aug · 18:00 UK

Europa League - Qualification · Thu 20 Aug · 18:00 UK
Egnatia 43Draw 25Lillestrom 32
The call
81%
Over 1.5 goals
3.1
Goals expected
Full time
Final 0–0
Both teams score (before kick-off)
62%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
60%

How it finished

Egnatia and Lillestrom drew 0–0. Bawler's model favoured Egnatia at 43% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 25%. It forecast 3.1 goals; nobody scored. Egnatia had 10 shots (4 on target) to Lillestrom's 5 (2), with 51% of the ball against 49%.

EgnatiaFull-time statsLillestrom
51%Possession49%
10Shots5
4Shots on target2
6Corners4
11Fouls17
2Offsides1
1Yellow cards1
What we publishedBeforeAfter
ResultEgnatia 43%Draw (25% called)
Total goals3.10
Both teams to score62%No
Model callOver 1.5 Goals 81%Missed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected · full match

EgnatiaLillestrom
1.7Goals1.4

Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.

What we expected

MarketProbability
Over 1.5 goals81%
Egnatia to score81%
Lillestrom to score76%
Under 3.5 goals63%

No first-half forecast for this fixture.

Second half — who scores?

What we read at half-time appears here once it loads.

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)+0.2 / match
Opponent strength indexUpper mid
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Egnatia vs Lillestrom?

Egnatia and Lillestrom drew 0–0. Bawler's model favoured Egnatia at 43% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 25%. It forecast 3.1 goals; nobody scored. Egnatia had 10 shots (4 on target) to Lillestrom's 5 (2), with 51% of the ball against 49%.

What was the final score in Egnatia vs Lillestrom?

Egnatia 0–0 Lillestrom, played on 20 Aug 2026 in the EUROPE: Europa League - Qualification. Bawler's model had gone into it with Egnatia 43%, the draw 25% and Lillestrom 32%.

What were the stats in Egnatia vs Lillestrom?

Full-time: Possession 51%–49%, Shots 10–5, Shots on target 4–2, Corners 6–4, Fouls 11–17, Offsides 2–1, Yellow cards 1–1.

Did both teams score in Egnatia vs Lillestrom?

No. It finished 0–0, so Egnatia failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 62% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Egnatia vs Lillestrom right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said Egnatia 43%, it finished Draw (25% called); Total goals — we said 3.1, it finished 0; Both teams to score — we said 62%, it finished No; Model call — we said Over 1.5 Goals 81%, it finished Missed.

Around this fixture

All fixtures & results →Egnatia form →Lillestrom form →