Bawler's pick
3 legs, built by our modelDundee United on top, and Daniel Bennie getting plenty of shots away.
Dundee United v St Johnstone prediction
Our model gives Dundee United 50%, the draw 25% and St Johnstone 25%, so Dundee United start as favourites. Our predicted score is Dundee United 2–1 St Johnstone, the likeliest Dundee United win score (10%). Dundee United are expected to score 1.8 goals and St Johnstone 1.2, 3.0 between them. Both sides are more likely than not to score (58%) and three or more goals is 57%.
We expect Dundee United to have 18.1 shots (5.9 on target) and St Johnstone 12.1 (3.8 on target), and corners at 7.0 to 4.3. That points to Dundee United doing more of the attacking. Of their last five meetings on our records, Dundee United have won three, St Johnstone none, and two were drawn. The last meeting ended St. Johnstone 1–1 Dundee United, in Oct 2026.
On form, Dundee United have three wins, three draws and no defeats from their last six games, and St Johnstone have two wins, three draws and one defeat. Of the players, Daniel Bennie (Dundee United) tops both our lists, with 3.1 shots and 0.9 on target expected if they start. Dylan Tait of Dundee United is the most booked player in either squad, once every 2 games in 2026/27. Bawler's pick combines Dundee United or Draw, Dundee United Over 13.5 Shots and Daniel Bennie 2+ Shots. We make the chance of all three coming in 50%, a fair price of Evens (2.02).
Written from the numbers on this page. These are forecasts, not certainties. 18+ Please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware.org
Players to watch
Numbers are if they start — lineups land about an hour before kickoff.
Most shots
Shots we expect them to takeMost on target
Shots on target we expectMost booked
Games per booking, from their latest season — a record, not a forecastWhat we expect from each side
The grey number is their average over the last six.
More chances
Dundee United · last 6
St Johnstone · last 6
League position
Head to head
First half — what we expect
First-half chances
How likely each side is to reach these totals before half-time.
Second half — who scores?
At half-time we update each side’s chance of scoring in the second half from what the first half showed.
What would change the call
Dundee United or draw is 75% now. Here is what it would become at half-time:
Based on the half-time score alone — team news is not included.
Player forecasts
Shots we expect from each player if they start — lineups land about an hour before kickoff. From 2025/26–2026/27 and 2026/27, all club matches.
1 in 3 = booked about once every three games last time out — a record, not a forecast. Players with fewer minutes are pulled toward the league average, so a small sample never reads as a certainty.
Around this fixture
Premiership table →Common questions
Who will win Dundee United vs St Johnstone?
Bawler's model rates this match: Dundee United are favoured (50% win probability vs 25% for St Johnstone, 25% draw). The model uses each side’s expected goals, recent form and the strength of the opposition.
What is the predicted score for Dundee United vs St Johnstone?
Bawler's predicted score is Dundee United 2-1 St Johnstone: the most likely score if Dundee United win, which is the likeliest result (50%). Our model puts that exact score at 9.5%. Expected total goals: 3.0.
How does Bawler predict Dundee United vs St Johnstone?
Bawler estimates each side's expected goals from its results and the quality of its chances, adjusted for the strength of the opposition and for home advantage, then works out the chance of every scoreline to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. Team news and lineups are not built into these numbers. For this match that gives Dundee United 50%, the draw 25% and St Johnstone 25%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.
Will both teams score in Dundee United vs St Johnstone?
Probably — Bawler's model gives both teams scoring a 58% chance. That is based on Dundee United expecting 1.77 goals and St Johnstone 1.19.
Over or under 2.5 goals in Dundee United vs St Johnstone?
Bawler's model expects 3.0 goals in total. It leans slightly towards three or more goals: over 2.5 goals is 57%.
When are the Dundee United v St Johnstone line-ups announced?
Clubs usually name their line-ups about an hour before kickoff.
What is Bawler's pick for Dundee United v St Johnstone?
Dundee United or Draw (75%), Dundee United Over 13.5 Shots (80%), Daniel Bennie 2+ Shots (75%). Our model gives all 3 landing together a 50% chance, a fair price of Evens (2.02). 18+, please gamble responsibly.