Bawler's pick
3 legs, built by our modelHibernian on top, and Thibault Klidje getting plenty of shots away.
Hibernian v Dundee United prediction
Our model makes Hibernian favourites for this Scottish Premiership game, giving them a 52% chance of winning. Dundee United are 23% and the draw is 24%. Our predicted score is Hibernian 2–1 Dundee United: the most likely score if Hibernian win, at 10%. Hibernian are expected to score 1.8 goals and Dundee United 1.1, 3.0 between them. Both sides are more likely than not to score (57%) and three or more goals is 57%.
On form, Hibernian have one win, two draws and three defeats from their last six games, and Dundee United have three wins, three draws and no defeats. Of their last five meetings on our records, Hibernian have won two, Dundee United one, and two were drawn. The last meeting ended Dundee United 1–0 Hibernian, in Oct 2026.
We expect Hibernian to have 17.3 shots (5.2 on target) and Dundee United 11.7 (4.0 on target), and corners at 6.1 to 4.6. That points to Hibernian doing more of the attacking. Of the players, Thibault Klidje (Hibernian) tops both our lists, with 2.5 shots and 1.0 on target expected if they start. Daniel Bennie of Dundee United is the most booked player in either squad, once every 2 games in 2026/27. Bawler's pick for this game is Hibernian or Draw, Hibernian Over 12.5 Shots and Thibault Klidje 2+ Shots. Our model gives all three landing together a 45% chance, which makes the fair price 6/5 (2.21).
Written from the numbers on this page. These are forecasts, not certainties. 18+ Please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware.org
Players to watch
Numbers are if they start — lineups land about an hour before kickoff.
Most booked
Games per booking, from their latest season — a record, not a forecastWhat we expect from each side
The grey number is their average over the last six.
More chances
Hibernian · last 6
Dundee United · last 6
League position
Head to head
First half — what we expect
First-half chances
How likely each side is to reach these totals before half-time.
Second half — who scores?
At half-time we update each side’s chance of scoring in the second half from what the first half showed.
What would change the call
Hibernian or draw is 77% now. Here is what it would become at half-time:
Based on the half-time score alone — team news is not included.
Player forecasts
Shots we expect from each player if they start — lineups land about an hour before kickoff. From 2025/26–2026/27, all club matches.
1 in 3 = booked about once every three games last time out — a record, not a forecast. Players with fewer minutes are pulled toward the league average, so a small sample never reads as a certainty.
Around this fixture
Premiership table →Common questions
Who will win Hibernian vs Dundee United?
Bawler's model rates this match: Hibernian are favoured (52% win probability vs 23% for Dundee United, 24% draw). The model uses each side’s expected goals, recent form and the strength of the opposition.
What is the predicted score for Hibernian vs Dundee United?
Bawler's predicted score is Hibernian 2-1 Dundee United: the most likely score if Hibernian win, which is the likeliest result (52%). Our model puts that exact score at 9.6%. Expected total goals: 3.0.
How does Bawler predict Hibernian vs Dundee United?
Bawler estimates each side's expected goals from its results and the quality of its chances, adjusted for the strength of the opposition and for home advantage, then works out the chance of every scoreline to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. Team news and lineups are not built into these numbers. For this match that gives Hibernian 52%, the draw 24% and Dundee United 23%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.
Will both teams score in Hibernian vs Dundee United?
Probably — Bawler's model gives both teams scoring a 57% chance. That is based on Hibernian expecting 1.81 goals and Dundee United 1.14.
Over or under 2.5 goals in Hibernian vs Dundee United?
Bawler's model expects 3.0 goals in total. It leans slightly towards three or more goals: over 2.5 goals is 57%.
When are the Hibernian v Dundee United line-ups announced?
Clubs usually name their line-ups about an hour before kickoff.
What is Bawler's pick for Hibernian v Dundee United?
Hibernian or Draw (77%), Hibernian Over 12.5 Shots (82%), Thibault Klidje 2+ Shots (66%). Our model gives all 3 landing together a 45% chance, a fair price of 6/5 (2.21). 18+, please gamble responsibly.