Dinamo City vs Pafos prediction — Conference League - Qualification · Thu 20 Aug · 20:00 UK

Conference League - Qualification · Thu 20 Aug · 20:00 UK
Dinamo City 23Draw 23Pafos 54
Our call before kickoff
77%
Pafos or draw
Landed
3.1
Goals expected
Full time
Final 1–1
Both teams score (before kick-off)
60%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
61%

How it finished

Dinamo City and Pafos drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured Pafos at 54% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 23%. It forecast 3.1 goals; only 2 were scored. Dinamo City had 10 shots (4 on target) to Pafos' 11 (4), with 46% of the ball against 54%.

Dinamo CityFull-time statsPafos
46%Possession54%
10Shots11
4Shots on target4
3Corners1
14Fouls12
1Offsides4
4Yellow cards2
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callPafos or draw 77%Draw (23% called)
Total goals3.12
Both teams to score60%Yes
Graded pickOver 1.5 goals 82%Landed
Second pickPafos to win 54%Missed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

Dinamo CityPafos
1.2
Goals+0.7
1.9

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Pafos to score86%
Over 1.5 goals82%
Dinamo City to score70%
Under 3.5 goals62%

No first-half forecast for this fixture.

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)-0.7 / match
Pafos in their league tableUpper half
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Dinamo City vs Pafos?

Dinamo City and Pafos drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured Pafos at 54% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 23%. It forecast 3.1 goals; only 2 were scored. Dinamo City had 10 shots (4 on target) to Pafos' 11 (4), with 46% of the ball against 54%.

What was the final score in Dinamo City vs Pafos?

Dinamo City 1–1 Pafos, played on 20 Aug 2026 in the EUROPE: Conference League - Qualification. Bawler's model had gone into it with Dinamo City 23%, the draw 23% and Pafos 54%.

What were the stats in Dinamo City vs Pafos?

Full-time: Possession 46%–54%, Shots 10–11, Shots on target 4–4, Corners 3–1, Fouls 14–12, Offsides 1–4, Yellow cards 4–2.

Did both teams score in Dinamo City vs Pafos?

Yes — both Dinamo City and Pafos scored, finishing 1–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 60% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Dinamo City vs Pafos right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Pafos or draw 77%, it finished Draw (23% called); Total goals — we said 3.1, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 60%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 82%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said Pafos to win 54%, it finished Missed.

Around this fixture

Dinamo City
Before this
13 AugHFK Auda4–0 W
Next up
27 AugAPafos2–4 L
All fixtures & results →Dinamo City form →Pafos form →