Denmark vs Wales prediction — UEFA Nations League · Sun 27 Sept · 17:00 UK

UEFA Nations League · Sun 27 Sept · 17:00 UK
74Denmark win16Draw10Wales win
Our call before kickoff
74%
Denmark to win
Landed
Full time
Final 2–0

How it finished

Denmark beat Wales 2–0. Bawler's model had Denmark in front at 74% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.5 goals; only 2 were scored. Denmark had 20 shots (4 on target) to Wales' 10 (3), with 62% of the ball against 38%. Expected goals finished 1.2 to 0.7.

DenmarkFull-time statsWales
62%Possession38%
1.2Expected goals (xG)0.7
20Shots10
4Shots on target3
12Shots inside box5
1Big chances2
2Corners4
3Saves2
10Fouls17
5Offsides3
1Yellow cards2
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callDenmark to win 74%Denmark won (74% called)
Total goals3.52
Both teams to score54%No

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we said the chances were

Denmark to score93%
2 or more goals86%
Goal before half-time78%
3 or more goals67%
Both teams score54%

What we expected from each side

The grey number is their average over the last six.

DenmarkDenmarkWalesWales
2.6Goals0.9
DenmarkDenmarkWalesWales
1.2Goals0.4
DenmarkDenmarkWalesWales
1.5Goals0.5

Shots and corners are not shown for this match — one of these national teams has too few recorded games for us to forecast them. Each bar is split by each side's share of the total.

First half — what we expected

Denmark
68%
to score before half-time
Wales
32%
to score before half-time

Shots and corners are not shown for international matches yet — national teams play too few games for us to forecast them well.

Head to head

Jun 2021Wales 0–4 Denmark
Nov 2018Wales 1–2 Denmark
Sept 2018Denmark 2–0 Wales
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Denmark vs Wales?

Denmark beat Wales 2–0. Bawler's model had Denmark in front at 74% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.5 goals; only 2 were scored. Denmark had 20 shots (4 on target) to Wales' 10 (3), with 62% of the ball against 38%. Expected goals finished 1.2 to 0.7.

What was the final score in Denmark vs Wales?

Denmark 2–0 Wales, played on 27 Sept 2026 in the Europe: UEFA Nations League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Denmark 74%, the draw 16% and Wales 10%.

What were the stats in Denmark vs Wales?

Full-time: Possession 62%–38%, Expected goals (xG) 1.2–0.7, Shots 20–10, Shots on target 4–3, Shots inside box 12–5, Big chances 1–2, Corners 2–4, Saves 3–2, Fouls 10–17, Offsides 5–3, Yellow cards 1–2.

Did both teams score in Denmark vs Wales?

No. It finished 2–0, so Wales failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 54% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Denmark vs Wales right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Denmark to win 74%, it finished Denmark won (74% called); Total goals — we said 3.5, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 54%, it finished No.

Around this fixture

All fixtures & results →Denmark form →Wales form →