What we expect
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who will win Denmark vs Wales?
Bawler's model rates this match: Denmark are favoured (79% win probability vs 7% for Wales, 13% draw). The model uses rolling xG, recent form, and lineup data.
What is the predicted score for Denmark vs Wales?
The most likely scoreline from Bawler's model is Denmark 2-0 Wales (10.3% probability). Expected total goals: 3.70.
How does Bawler predict Denmark vs Wales?
Bawler builds each side's expected goals from a rolling 26-match window, adjusts for home advantage and for injuries or absences in the confirmed squads, then runs the resulting scoreline distribution to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. For this match that gives Denmark 79%, the draw 13% and Wales 7%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.
Will both teams score in Denmark vs Wales?
BTTS: Yes (52% probability) — both attacks should find the net. Based on home expected goals 2.89 and away expected goals 0.81.
Over or under 2.5 goals in Denmark vs Wales?
Bawler's model gives a combined expected-goals total of 3.70. The lean is Over 2.5 (a goal-fest is on the cards).