CSKA Sofia vs Maccabi Tel-Aviv prediction — Europa League - Qualification · Thu 13 Aug · 19:00 UK

Europa League - Qualification · Thu 13 Aug · 19:00 UK
CSKA Sofia 40Draw 28Maccabi Tel-Aviv 32
The call
68%
CSKA Sofia or draw
2.5
Goals expected
Full time
Final 1–3

How it finished

Maccabi Tel-Aviv beat CSKA Sofia 3–1. Bawler's model favoured CSKA Sofia at 40% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Maccabi Tel-Aviv 32%. It forecast 2.5 goals; the match produced 4. CSKA Sofia had 11 shots (3 on target) to Maccabi Tel-Aviv's 15 (5), with 35% of the ball against 65%.

CSKA SofiaFull-time statsMaccabi…
35%Possession65%
11Shots15
3Shots on target5
2Corners6
22Fouls12
2Offsides3
3Yellow cards3
What we publishedBeforeAfter
ResultCSKA Sofia 40%Maccabi Tel-Aviv (32% called)
Total goals2.54
Both teams to score50%Yes
Model callCSKA Sofia or Draw 68%Missed
Second callOver 2.5 Goals 52%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

MarketProbability
Under 3.5 goals76%
CSKA Sofia to score74%
Over 1.5 goals71%
Maccabi Tel-Aviv to score69%

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)+0.2 / match
Opponent strength indexTop quartile
Full-time recap →
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Common questions

Who won CSKA Sofia vs Maccabi Tel-Aviv?

Maccabi Tel-Aviv beat CSKA Sofia 3–1. Bawler's model favoured CSKA Sofia at 40% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Maccabi Tel-Aviv 32%. It forecast 2.5 goals; the match produced 4. CSKA Sofia had 11 shots (3 on target) to Maccabi Tel-Aviv's 15 (5), with 35% of the ball against 65%.

What was the final score in CSKA Sofia vs Maccabi Tel-Aviv?

CSKA Sofia 1–3 Maccabi Tel-Aviv, played on 13 Aug 2026 in the EUROPE: Europa League - Qualification. Bawler's model had gone into it with CSKA Sofia 40%, the draw 28% and Maccabi Tel-Aviv 32%.

What were the stats in CSKA Sofia vs Maccabi Tel-Aviv?

Full-time: Possession 35%–65%, Shots 11–15, Shots on target 3–5, Corners 2–6, Fouls 22–12, Offsides 2–3, Yellow cards 3–3.

Did both teams score in CSKA Sofia vs Maccabi Tel-Aviv?

Yes — both CSKA Sofia and Maccabi Tel-Aviv scored, finishing 1–3. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 50% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for CSKA Sofia vs Maccabi Tel-Aviv right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said CSKA Sofia 40%, it finished Maccabi Tel-Aviv (32% called); Total goals — we said 2.5, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 50%, it finished Yes; Model call — we said CSKA Sofia or Draw 68%, it finished Missed; Second call — we said Over 2.5 Goals 52%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

All fixtures & results →CSKA Sofia form →Maccabi Tel-Aviv form →