How it finished
Spain beat Croatia 2–1. Croatia had 10 shots (5 on target) to Spain's 10 (3), with 28% of the ball against 72%. On expected goals it was 1.2 to 1.1, so Croatia created the better chances and still lost the game.
What we expected from each side
The grey number is their average over the last six.
Shots and corners are not shown for this match — one of these national teams has too few recorded games for us to forecast them.
What we said the chances were
First half — what we expected
Shots and corners are not shown for international matches yet — national teams play too few games for us to forecast them well.
Head to head
Around this fixture
Common questions
Who won Croatia vs Spain?
Spain beat Croatia 2–1. Croatia had 10 shots (5 on target) to Spain's 10 (3), with 28% of the ball against 72%. On expected goals it was 1.2 to 1.1, so Croatia created the better chances and still lost the game.
What was the final score in Croatia vs Spain?
Croatia 1–2 Spain, played on 06 Oct 2026 in the Europe: UEFA Nations League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Croatia 5%, the draw 12% and Spain 83%.
What were the stats in Croatia vs Spain?
Full-time: Possession 28%–72%, Expected goals (xG) 1.2–1.1, Shots 10–10, Shots on target 5–3, Shots inside box 9–7, Big chances 4–3, Corners 3–6, Saves 1–4, Fouls 12–10, Offsides 0–2, Yellow cards 4–2, Red cards 1–0.
Did both teams score in Croatia vs Spain?
Yes — both Croatia and Spain scored, finishing 1–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 39% before kickoff.