Millwall beat Cambridge United 1–0. Bawler's model had Millwall in front at 38% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.8 goals; only 1 was scored. Cambridge United had 9 shots (1 on target) to Millwall's 10 (4), with 44% of the ball against 56%. Expected goals finished 0.4 to 0.7.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
No first-half forecast for this fixture.
Millwall beat Cambridge United 1–0. Bawler's model had Millwall in front at 38% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.8 goals; only 1 was scored. Cambridge United had 9 shots (1 on target) to Millwall's 10 (4), with 44% of the ball against 56%. Expected goals finished 0.4 to 0.7.
Cambridge United 0–1 Millwall, played on 25 Aug 2026 in the ENGLAND: EFL Cup. Bawler's model had gone into it with Cambridge United 35%, the draw 27% and Millwall 38%.
Full-time: Possession 44%–56%, Expected goals (xG) 0.4–0.7, Shots 9–10, Shots on target 1–4, Shots inside box 4–7, Big chances 0–2, Corners 4–1, Saves 2–1, Fouls 11–17, Offsides 1–1, Yellow cards 2–0.
No. It finished 0–1, so Cambridge United failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 57% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Millwall or draw 65%, it finished Millwall won (38% called); Total goals — we said 2.8, it finished 1; Both teams to score — we said 57%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 77%, it finished Missed; Second pick — we said Over 2.5 goals 53%, it finished Missed.