Cambridge United vs Millwall prediction — EFL Cup · Tue 25 Aug · 19:45 UK

EFL Cup · Tue 25 Aug · 19:45 UK
Cambridge United 35Draw 27Millwall 38
Our call before kickoff
65%
Millwall or draw
Landed
2.8
Goals expected
Full time
Final 0–1
Both teams score (before kick-off)
57%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
53%

How it finished

Millwall beat Cambridge United 1–0. Bawler's model had Millwall in front at 38% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.8 goals; only 1 was scored. Cambridge United had 9 shots (1 on target) to Millwall's 10 (4), with 44% of the ball against 56%. Expected goals finished 0.4 to 0.7.

Cambridge…Full-time statsMillwall
44%Possession56%
0.4Expected goals (xG)0.7
9Shots10
1Shots on target4
4Shots inside box7
0Big chances2
4Corners1
2Saves1
11Fouls17
1Offsides1
2Yellow cards0
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callMillwall or draw 65%Millwall won (38% called)
Total goals2.81
Both teams to score57%No
Graded pickOver 1.5 goals 77%Missed
Second pickOver 2.5 goals 53%Missed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

Cambridge UnitedMillwall
1.4
Goals+0.1
1.4

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Over 1.5 goals77%
Millwall to score76%
Cambridge United to score75%
Under 3.5 goals69%

No first-half forecast for this fixture.

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)-0.1 / match
Millwall in their league tableUpper half
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Cambridge United vs Millwall?

Millwall beat Cambridge United 1–0. Bawler's model had Millwall in front at 38% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.8 goals; only 1 was scored. Cambridge United had 9 shots (1 on target) to Millwall's 10 (4), with 44% of the ball against 56%. Expected goals finished 0.4 to 0.7.

What was the final score in Cambridge United vs Millwall?

Cambridge United 0–1 Millwall, played on 25 Aug 2026 in the ENGLAND: EFL Cup. Bawler's model had gone into it with Cambridge United 35%, the draw 27% and Millwall 38%.

What were the stats in Cambridge United vs Millwall?

Full-time: Possession 44%–56%, Expected goals (xG) 0.4–0.7, Shots 9–10, Shots on target 1–4, Shots inside box 4–7, Big chances 0–2, Corners 4–1, Saves 2–1, Fouls 11–17, Offsides 1–1, Yellow cards 2–0.

Did both teams score in Cambridge United vs Millwall?

No. It finished 0–1, so Cambridge United failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 57% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Cambridge United vs Millwall right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Millwall or draw 65%, it finished Millwall won (38% called); Total goals — we said 2.8, it finished 1; Both teams to score — we said 57%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 77%, it finished Missed; Second pick — we said Over 2.5 goals 53%, it finished Missed.

Around this fixture

Championship table →
Cambridge United
All fixtures & results →Cambridge United form →Millwall form →