Bawler's pick
4 legs, built by our modelBlackburn Rovers on top: we expect them to avoid defeat and do most of the shooting.
Blackburn Rovers v Charlton Athletic prediction
Blackburn Rovers are favourites on our numbers: 47% to win, against 26% for Charlton Athletic and 28% for a draw. If you want one score, our predicted score is Blackburn Rovers 1–0 Charlton Athletic, the most likely Blackburn Rovers win (12%). We expect 2.5 goals in total: 1.5 for Blackburn Rovers and 1.0 for Charlton Athletic. Both teams scoring is 50% and three or more goals comes in at 46%.
Of their last five meetings on our records, Blackburn Rovers have won one, Charlton Athletic three, and one was drawn. When they last met, it finished Blackburn Rovers 2–2 Charlton Athletic, in Jan 2026. In their last six games Blackburn Rovers have three wins, no draws and three defeats, while Charlton Athletic have one win, one draw and four defeats. Both won their most recent match.
On shots, our forecast is 17.3 for Blackburn Rovers and 10.2 for Charlton Athletic, with 5.0 and 3.2 on target, and corners at 6.7 to 3.8. So we expect Blackburn Rovers to do more of the shooting. For Bawler's pick we have gone with Blackburn Rovers or Draw, Blackburn Rovers Over 12.5 Shots, Blackburn Rovers Over 2.5 Shots on Target and Blackburn Rovers Over 3.5 Corners. The chance all four land is 48% on our numbers, so the fair price is 11/10, or 2.10.
Written from the numbers on this page. These are forecasts, not certainties. 18+ Please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware.org
Players to watch
Numbers are if they start — lineups land about an hour before kickoff.
Most shots
Shots we expect them to takeMost on target
Shots on target we expectMost booked
Games per booking, from their latest season — a record, not a forecastWhat we expect from each side
The grey number is their average over the last six.
More chances
Blackburn Rovers · last 6
Charlton Athletic · last 6
League position
Head to head
First half — what we expect
First-half chances
How likely each side is to reach these totals before half-time.
Second half — who scores?
At half-time we update each side’s chance of scoring in the second half from what the first half showed.
What would change the call
Blackburn Rovers or draw is 74% now. Here is what it would become at half-time:
Based on the half-time score alone — team news is not included.
Player forecasts
Shots we expect from each player if they start — lineups land about an hour before kickoff. From 2025/26–2026/27, all club matches.
1 in 3 = booked about once every three games last time out — a record, not a forecast. Players with fewer minutes are pulled toward the league average, so a small sample never reads as a certainty.
Around this fixture
Championship table →Common questions
Who will win Blackburn Rovers vs Charlton Athletic?
Bawler's model rates this match: Blackburn Rovers are favoured (47% win probability vs 26% for Charlton Athletic, 28% draw). The model uses each side’s expected goals, recent form and the strength of the opposition.
What is the predicted score for Blackburn Rovers vs Charlton Athletic?
Bawler's predicted score is Blackburn Rovers 1-0 Charlton Athletic: the most likely score if Blackburn Rovers win, which is the likeliest result (47%). Our model puts that exact score at 11.8%. Expected total goals: 2.5.
How does Bawler predict Blackburn Rovers vs Charlton Athletic?
Bawler estimates each side's expected goals from its results and the quality of its chances, adjusted for the strength of the opposition and for home advantage, then works out the chance of every scoreline to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. Team news and lineups are not built into these numbers. For this match that gives Blackburn Rovers 47%, the draw 28% and Charlton Athletic 26%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.
Will both teams score in Blackburn Rovers vs Charlton Athletic?
Probably — Bawler's model gives both teams scoring a 50% chance. That is based on Blackburn Rovers expecting 1.48 goals and Charlton Athletic 1.03.
Over or under 2.5 goals in Blackburn Rovers vs Charlton Athletic?
Bawler's model expects 2.5 goals in total. It leans slightly towards two goals or fewer: over 2.5 goals is 46%.
When are the Blackburn Rovers v Charlton Athletic line-ups announced?
Clubs usually name their line-ups about an hour before kickoff.
What is Bawler's pick for Blackburn Rovers v Charlton Athletic?
Blackburn Rovers or Draw (74%), Blackburn Rovers Over 12.5 Shots (82%), Blackburn Rovers Over 2.5 Shots on Target (84%), Blackburn Rovers Over 3.5 Corners (84%). Our model gives all 4 landing together a 48% chance, a fair price of 11/10 (2.10). 18+, please gamble responsibly.