Benfica vs Heart of Midlothian prediction — Europa League - Qualification · Thu 6 Aug · 20:00 UK

Europa League - Qualification · Thu 6 Aug · 20:00 UK
Benfica 58Draw 27Heart of Midlothian 16
The call
77%
Over 1.5 goals
2.9
Goals expected
Full time
Final 6–1

How it finished

Benfica beat Heart of Midlothian 6–1. Bawler's model had Benfica in front at 58% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.9 goals; the match produced 7. Benfica had 24 shots (11 on target) to Heart of Midlothian's 10 (2), with 67% of the ball against 33%. Expected goals finished 3.7 to 1.2.

BenficaFull-time statsHeart of…
67%Possession33%
3.7Expected goals (xG)1.2
24Shots10
11Shots on target2
18Shots inside box5
8Big chances2
6Corners2
1Saves5
12Fouls12
2Offsides2
2Yellow cards4
What we publishedBeforeAfter
ResultBenfica 58%Benfica (58% called)
Total goals2.97
Both teams to score52%Yes
Model callOver 1.5 Goals 77%Landed
Second callBTTS Yes 52%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

MarketProbability
Benfica to score85%
Over 1.5 goals78%
Under 3.5 goals68%
Heart of Midlothian to score60%

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)+1.0 / match
Opponent strength indexTop quartile
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Benfica vs Heart of Midlothian?

Benfica beat Heart of Midlothian 6–1. Bawler's model had Benfica in front at 58% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.9 goals; the match produced 7. Benfica had 24 shots (11 on target) to Heart of Midlothian's 10 (2), with 67% of the ball against 33%. Expected goals finished 3.7 to 1.2.

What was the final score in Benfica vs Heart of Midlothian?

Benfica 6–1 Heart of Midlothian, played on 06 Aug 2026 in the Europe: Europa League - Qualification. Bawler's model had gone into it with Benfica 58%, the draw 27% and Heart of Midlothian 16%.

What were the stats in Benfica vs Heart of Midlothian?

Full-time: Possession 67%–33%, Expected goals (xG) 3.7–1.2, Shots 24–10, Shots on target 11–2, Shots inside box 18–5, Big chances 8–2, Corners 6–2, Saves 1–5, Fouls 12–12, Offsides 2–2, Yellow cards 2–4.

Did both teams score in Benfica vs Heart of Midlothian?

Yes — both Benfica and Heart of Midlothian scored, finishing 6–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 52% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Benfica vs Heart of Midlothian right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said Benfica 58%, it finished Benfica (58% called); Total goals — we said 2.9, it finished 7; Both teams to score — we said 52%, it finished Yes; Model call — we said Over 1.5 Goals 77%, it finished Landed; Second call — we said BTTS Yes 52%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

Liga Portugal table →Premiership table →
All fixtures & results →Benfica form →Heart of Midlothian form →