Belarus vs Finland prediction — UEFA Nations League · Tue 6 Oct · 19:45 UK

UEFA Nations League · Tue 6 Oct · 19:45 UK
27Belarus win27Draw46Finland win
Full time
1–0

How it finished

Belarus beat Finland 1–0. Belarus had 6 shots (2 on target) to Finland's 14 (2), with 26% of the ball against 74%. Expected goals finished 1.0 to 0.7.

BelarusFull-time statsFinland
26%Possession74%
1.0Expected goals (xG)0.7
6Shots14
2Shots on target2
2Shots inside box8
1Big chances1
1Corners5
2Saves1
17Fouls11
0Offsides1
4Yellow cards2
We predicted
0–1
Likeliest score if Finland win (10%). Single likeliest exact score: 1–1 (13%)
Expected goals
1.1v1.6
2.7 in total
Both teams score
54%
Leans yes
3+ goals
51%
Leans likely

What we expected from each side

The grey number is their average over the last six.

BelarusBelarusFinlandFinland
1.1Goals1.6
BelarusBelarusFinlandFinland
0.5Goals0.7
BelarusBelarusFinlandFinland
0.6Goals0.9

Shots and corners are not shown for this match — one of these national teams has too few recorded games for us to forecast them.

What we said the chances were

Finland to score79%
2 or more goals75%
3 goals or fewer71%
Goal before half-time70%
Belarus to score68%

First half — what we expected

Belarus
40%
to score before half-time
Finland
50%
to score before half-time

Shots and corners are not shown for international matches yet — national teams play too few games for us to forecast them well.

Head to head

Jun 2018Finland 2–0 Belarus
Jun 2013Belarus 1–1 Finland
Jun 2013Finland 1–0 Belarus
Full-time recap →
Every Bawler's pick is logged before kickoff · Bawler's pick record →

Around this fixture

All fixtures & results →Belarus form →Finland form →

Common questions

Who won Belarus vs Finland?

Belarus beat Finland 1–0. Belarus had 6 shots (2 on target) to Finland's 14 (2), with 26% of the ball against 74%. Expected goals finished 1.0 to 0.7.

What was the final score in Belarus vs Finland?

Belarus 1–0 Finland, played on 06 Oct 2026 in the Europe: UEFA Nations League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Belarus 27%, the draw 27% and Finland 46%.

What were the stats in Belarus vs Finland?

Full-time: Possession 26%–74%, Expected goals (xG) 1.0–0.7, Shots 6–14, Shots on target 2–2, Shots inside box 2–8, Big chances 1–1, Corners 1–5, Saves 2–1, Fouls 17–11, Offsides 0–1, Yellow cards 4–2.

Did both teams score in Belarus vs Finland?

No. It finished 1–0, so Finland failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 54% before kickoff.