Atlético Madrid vs Málaga prediction — LaLiga · Wed 19 Aug · 20:00 UK

LaLiga · Wed 19 Aug · 20:00 UK
Atlético Madrid 78Draw 15Málaga 7
The call
93%
Atlético Madrid or draw
3.2
Goals expected
Full time
Final 2–0

How it finished

Atlético Madrid beat Málaga 2–0. Bawler's model had Atlético Madrid in front at 78% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.2 goals; only 2 were scored. Atlético Madrid had 15 shots (6 on target) to Málaga's 5 (1), with 53% of the ball against 47%. Expected goals finished 0.8 to 0.2.

Atlético…Full-time statsMálaga
53%Possession47%
0.8Expected goals (xG)0.2
15Shots5
6Shots on target1
8Shots inside box4
2Big chances0
6Corners1
1Saves4
17Fouls11
2Offsides2
2Yellow cards3
What we publishedBeforeAfter
ResultAtlético Madrid 78%Atlético Madrid (78% called)
Total goals3.22
Both teams to score45%No
Model call1X 93%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

MarketProbability
Atlético Madrid to score92%
Over 1.5 goals83%
Over 2.5 goals63%

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)+1.9 / match
Head-to-head, last 5ATL 5 · D 0 · MAL 0
Opponent strength indexBottom quartile

Head to head

Feb 2018Malaga 0–1 Atletico Madrid
Sept 2017Atletico Madrid 1–0 Malaga
Apr 2017Malaga 0–2 Atletico Madrid
Oct 2016Atletico Madrid 4–2 Malaga
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Atlético Madrid vs Málaga?

Atlético Madrid beat Málaga 2–0. Bawler's model had Atlético Madrid in front at 78% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.2 goals; only 2 were scored. Atlético Madrid had 15 shots (6 on target) to Málaga's 5 (1), with 53% of the ball against 47%. Expected goals finished 0.8 to 0.2.

What was the final score in Atlético Madrid vs Málaga?

Atlético Madrid 2–0 Málaga, played on 19 Aug 2026 in the SPAIN: LaLiga. Bawler's model had gone into it with Atlético Madrid 78%, the draw 15% and Málaga 7%.

What were the stats in Atlético Madrid vs Málaga?

Full-time: Possession 53%–47%, Expected goals (xG) 0.8–0.2, Shots 15–5, Shots on target 6–1, Shots inside box 8–4, Big chances 2–0, Corners 6–1, Saves 1–4, Fouls 17–11, Offsides 2–2, Yellow cards 2–3.

Did both teams score in Atlético Madrid vs Málaga?

No. It finished 2–0, so Málaga failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 45% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Atlético Madrid vs Málaga right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said Atlético Madrid 78%, it finished Atlético Madrid (78% called); Total goals — we said 3.2, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 45%, it finished No; Model call — we said 1X 93%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

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