Atalanta and Hapoel Tel Aviv drew 0–0. Bawler's model favoured Atalanta at 76% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 16%. It forecast 3.4 goals; nobody scored. Atalanta had 9 shots (5 on target) to Hapoel Tel Aviv's 7 (4), with 62% of the ball against 38%. Expected goals finished 0.8 to 0.8.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.
What we published for this match, strongest first.
No first-half forecast for this fixture.
Atalanta and Hapoel Tel Aviv drew 0–0. Bawler's model favoured Atalanta at 76% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 16%. It forecast 3.4 goals; nobody scored. Atalanta had 9 shots (5 on target) to Hapoel Tel Aviv's 7 (4), with 62% of the ball against 38%. Expected goals finished 0.8 to 0.8.
Atalanta 0–0 Hapoel Tel Aviv, played on 20 Aug 2026 in the EUROPE: Conference League - Qualification. Bawler's model had gone into it with Atalanta 76%, the draw 16% and Hapoel Tel Aviv 9%.
Full-time: Possession 62%–38%, Expected goals (xG) 0.8–0.8, Shots 9–7, Shots on target 5–4, Shots inside box 7–3, Big chances 2–1, Corners 3–1, Saves 4–5, Fouls 10–15, Offsides 0–1, Yellow cards 1–2.
No. It finished 0–0, so Atalanta failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 50% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Atalanta to win 76%, it finished Draw (16% called); Total goals — we said 3.4, it finished 0; Both teams to score — we said 50%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Atalanta or draw 91%, it finished Landed.