Atalanta vs Hapoel Tel Aviv prediction — Conference League - Qualification · Thu 20 Aug · 19:30 UK

Conference League - Qualification · Thu 20 Aug · 19:30 UK
Atalanta 76Draw 16Hapoel Tel Aviv 9
Our call before kickoff
76%
Atalanta to win
Missed
3.4
Goals expected
Full time
Final 0–0
Both teams score (before kick-off)
50%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
65%

How it finished

Atalanta and Hapoel Tel Aviv drew 0–0. Bawler's model favoured Atalanta at 76% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 16%. It forecast 3.4 goals; nobody scored. Atalanta had 9 shots (5 on target) to Hapoel Tel Aviv's 7 (4), with 62% of the ball against 38%. Expected goals finished 0.8 to 0.8.

AtalantaFull-time statsHapoel Tel…
62%Possession38%
0.8Expected goals (xG)0.8
9Shots7
5Shots on target4
7Shots inside box3
2Big chances1
3Corners1
4Saves5
10Fouls15
0Offsides1
1Yellow cards2
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callAtalanta to win 76%Draw (16% called)
Total goals3.40
Both teams to score50%No
Graded pickAtalanta or draw 91%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

AtalantaHapoel Tel Aviv
2.6
Goals+1.8
0.8

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first.

MarketProbability
Atalanta to score92%
Over 1.5 goals85%
Over 2.5 goals65%

No first-half forecast for this fixture.

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)+1.8 / match
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Atalanta vs Hapoel Tel Aviv?

Atalanta and Hapoel Tel Aviv drew 0–0. Bawler's model favoured Atalanta at 76% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 16%. It forecast 3.4 goals; nobody scored. Atalanta had 9 shots (5 on target) to Hapoel Tel Aviv's 7 (4), with 62% of the ball against 38%. Expected goals finished 0.8 to 0.8.

What was the final score in Atalanta vs Hapoel Tel Aviv?

Atalanta 0–0 Hapoel Tel Aviv, played on 20 Aug 2026 in the EUROPE: Conference League - Qualification. Bawler's model had gone into it with Atalanta 76%, the draw 16% and Hapoel Tel Aviv 9%.

What were the stats in Atalanta vs Hapoel Tel Aviv?

Full-time: Possession 62%–38%, Expected goals (xG) 0.8–0.8, Shots 9–7, Shots on target 5–4, Shots inside box 7–3, Big chances 2–1, Corners 3–1, Saves 4–5, Fouls 10–15, Offsides 0–1, Yellow cards 1–2.

Did both teams score in Atalanta vs Hapoel Tel Aviv?

No. It finished 0–0, so Atalanta failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 50% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Atalanta vs Hapoel Tel Aviv right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Atalanta to win 76%, it finished Draw (16% called); Total goals — we said 3.4, it finished 0; Both teams to score — we said 50%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Atalanta or draw 91%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

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Hapoel Tel Aviv
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27 AugHAtalanta0–1 L
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