How it finished
Armenia beat Latvia 2–0. Bawler's model had Armenia in front at 46% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.4 goals; only 2 were scored. Armenia had 14 shots (4 on target) to Latvia's 5 (1), with 56% of the ball against 44%. Expected goals finished 1.1 to 0.2.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected from each side before kickoff, next to how they had been doing.
Shots and corners are not shown for this match — one of these national teams has too few recorded games for us to forecast them. Each card is drawn on one scale, so the two bars are directly comparable. “Above recent” means our forecast is higher than their average over the last six.
What we published
How likely we said the big moments were, before kickoff.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 78%
Shots and corners are not shown for international matches yet — national teams play too few games for us to forecast them well.
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Armenia vs Latvia?
Armenia beat Latvia 2–0. Bawler's model had Armenia in front at 46% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.4 goals; only 2 were scored. Armenia had 14 shots (4 on target) to Latvia's 5 (1), with 56% of the ball against 44%. Expected goals finished 1.1 to 0.2.
What was the final score in Armenia vs Latvia?
Armenia 2–0 Latvia, played on 25 Sept 2026 in the Europe: UEFA Nations League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Armenia 46%, the draw 24% and Latvia 31%.
What were the stats in Armenia vs Latvia?
Full-time: Possession 56%–44%, Expected goals (xG) 1.1–0.2, Shots 14–5, Shots on target 4–1, Shots inside box 7–3, Big chances 3–0, Corners 10–2, Saves 1–2, Fouls 10–9, Offsides 0–3, Yellow cards 1–0.
Did both teams score in Armenia vs Latvia?
No. It finished 2–0, so Latvia failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 66% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Armenia vs Latvia right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Armenia or draw 69%, it finished Armenia won (46% called); Total goals — we said 3.4, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 66%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 85%, it finished Landed.